I have a hard time believing any of nvidias numbers
The numbers are what they are. All we have seen so far is the GPU performance per watt for Logan. It would be pretty illogical to suggest that the GPU performance per watt for Logan is going to go magically
down between now and early next year (and equally illogical to suggest that the number of CUDA "cores" is going to go down)! Anyway, in a power constrained environment, performance per watt = performance provided that there is performance headroom to scale. Obviously Kepler has lots of performance headroom to scale.
Qualcomm is shipping smartphone SOCs today that are likely pushing 120+ gflops on 28nm (adreno 330)
Think logically about what you are saying. Adreno 330 in S800 has ~ 50% more GFLOPS throughput than the ULP GPU in Tegra 4, in addition to a unified shader architecture, and yet it only has ~ 20% faster graphics performance (comparing tablets to tablets). That actually hurts your case because the Adreno GPU architectural efficiency is worse than Tegra 4.
You will note I have not mentioned AMD..another challanger in the tablet space.
AMD was unable to make the same investments in ultra low powered processors as NVIDIA, Intel, Qualcomm, etc have done. As a result, they will not be a major player in the ultra low power mobile space.
And just FYI, it is "Kepler", not "Keplar". I have seen so many people across forums misspell that. "Kepler" is named after a scientist. "Keplar" doesn't exist.
Brilliantdeve said:
Regarding 20nm technology I still believe we'll see it by 2H 2014 even with even with Qualcomm first processor build with ARMv8
Clearly we will see 20nm products by second half of 2014, but the process node maturity will not be spectacularly high. So approaching or exceeding the peak performance (ie. close to 400 GFLOPS throughput) of ultra mobile Kepler will be no easy task at that time.