Merril Lynch estimates $399 PS3 pricetag. $494 to produce.

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"Why not include 2005´s figures? And where is this reported massive shortage you talk about?"

Xbox shortages have been widely reported around spring of 2005.


"PS2 keeps selling at least twice the ammount Xbox does, with no shortages, for the entire year "

Because they dont have shortages currently.


"- if the last holyday season wasn´t an anomaly, why is this happening? An unexistent shortage?"


Xbox outsold PS in I believe, September, November, and December. 3 of the 4 biggest sales months of the year. In fact, I believe Xbox won at least half of the months in 2004. Again, if you looked at the trends prior to 2005 there was a clear increase of Xbox while the other systems fell.

That is until spring 2005. Spring months are the slowest in sales anyway, so if anything would be the anamoly it would be these months. But that's not why, it is Xbox shortages. Everybody knows the story, MS does not care about Xbox1 now. They are only producing enough to barely get buy. In fact production will stop after the third qaurter 2005, or Nvidia will stop shipping GPU's anyway.
 
LOL, I don´t know, but wasn´t you the one who veered the thread off topic in the first place?

Anyway, ask him what Square is doing right now. He´s got to know, afterall, all the programmers live in the same building, don´t they? I think I´ve seen it, isn´t there a big sign that says "Appartments for the ENTIRE Game Industry Programmers" and is 3 stories high or so

Yeah you really want to derail this thread don't you? Typical.
 
And currently JVD Xbox outsells GC 2-1 with one hand tied behind it's back in the form of massively constrained supply.
in what crazy world is that ? Both systems are basicly dead sales wise . There are no xbox systems and there are no gamecube games. Neither are selling very well at all and the sales are very close to each other with the gamecube about 1 million units behind and making money ...



The market is different. Why did you think GCN wasn´t favoured by the market? Instead of being seen as a steal in terms of price:value ratio, it was even thought of as less powerfull and valuable than PS2. I believe that is because in the console market, price is one of the biggest indicators of value.
It was simple , the ps2 already had a large user base and dev support compared to the newely launched gcn . It wasn't price that screwed them . It was the lack of compelling games. Nintendo makes great games , but they can't make enough great games to compete against the huge amount of games sony had , esp with over a years lead on the market .


Traditionally, consoles stay at their introduction price point a couple of years, at least in the NA market, so I don´t believe a price cut would be favorable to public perception of the X360. The hardcore population will make known that they bought it at $300 just a couple months ago and that this the thing is decreasing in value, fast.
And the non hardcore will see it droped in price and see the line up of games and figure its either now affordable or it has a ways to go .

Sometimes price drops can be very very good .



The sale strategy is solid, but I question how widespread it can be and how much it can last. If you offer it in a limited fashion, your ability to maximize sales drops. If you limit the sale, stores that aren´t offering it will suffer that fact and the sales surge won´t seem as great. The same will happen if the sale isn´t on for a sufficient time period. It´s tricky too, if it extends for too long, it will just seem like the standard price and the impact is gone.
Many products are on special sales and then go into that being thier real price . They can have it apear at best buy or walmart at key moments before holiday 06' and then in early 07' they can officaly drop the price.

There are many ways to do it and even pack ins can be one of them with out the value being demished. Your also assuming it has to be a large price drop. It can be as simple as hitting 279$ or 269$




AFAIK, they´re very similar in size. I don´t remember the exact figure, but the difference was in the region of 10% of difference.
160m vs 230 ? 70m transistors is alot more than 10%

see your point, and sure, that should provide an advantage. Still, how expensive to manufacture will the eDRAM block be?
Well edram is denser but its on a seperate chip which should keep yields high enough and its a small block. I think its 120m ? mabye 150m ? You should be able to produce alot of them at 90nm on a 300mm wafer . Yields shouldn't be that bad as its only 500mhz . The yields on the two chips should be much greater than the yield of a single chip of that size or the rsx . Thus costing less .

I see. How many more busses are in PS3 than x360?

Not sure off the top of my head . I think 1 mabye 2 .

xbox 360

ram to gpu to cpu . sb to gpu

ps3 . ram to gpu to cpu to ram , i belive there is a south bridge in there too though i'm not sure .

Its also the size and the complexity of the busses that are a problem . Not just the amount of them .



It´s a fixed cost, though, the HDD I mean. Its cost shouldn´t be neglible as MS was very hesitant on including it for a reason. If it were very cheap Sony would have no trouble announcing one themselves, don´t you think?
Sony can have any number of reasons for not including it and one can certianly be the bluray drive .

The hdd wont be cheap your right. But it wont be insanely expensive Its a small drive 20 gbs . Basicly laptop sizes . Your right that it wont scale in price quickly but it will lower and add on drives can be a good way for them to recoup the costs . Many will be happy with 20 gbs but many will want more . It also makes thier dreams of smaller games and micro transactions a realitly

True, Blu Ray hasn´t been produced yet, AFAIK, but it will be, and in very big volumes, so I don´t see it being very costly. I doubt Sony would have included it if it had affected that much PS3´s budget.
it will be one day your right. But hten again so will every part of the ps3 one day .


They had to include bluray because with out hte ps3 the format will most likely have been dead in the water . Hd-dvd should be launching first , the drives and media should also cost less .
 
Scooby dooby my point is Games dont matter. Sure Xbox has more games NOW. So?

When they released which had Mario, the same third party titles, lower price, Nintendo franchises, etc?

Games advantage at release through first year: Gamecube by huge, astronomical margin.

Price advantage: Gamecube

Power advantage: MS

North America sales winner: MS.
 
gosh said:
Xbox shortages have been widely reported around spring of 2005.

Because they dont have shortages currently.

I´m going to need to see proof of that, because as of now, stores have a really nice supply of Xbox consoles.

Xbox outsold PS in I believe, September, November, and December. 3 of the 4 biggest sales months of the year. In fact, I believe Xbox won at least half of the months in 2004. Again, if you looked at the trends prior to 2005 there was a clear increase of Xbox while the other systems fell.

You got the shortage wrong. PS2 was the one having shipment and supply difficulties during those months.

That is until spring 2005. Spring months are the slowest in sales anyway, so if anything would be the anamoly it would be these months. But that's not why, it is Xbox shortages. Everybody knows the story, MS does not care about Xbox1 now. They are only producing enough to barely get buy. In fact production will stop after the third qaurter 2005, or Nvidia will stop shipping GPU's anyway.

The anomaly was PS2 selling as much as more than 3 times the ammount of Xbox consoles sold in the month of January and February. That means buyers couldn´t get ahold of PS2´s during the holyday season and were getting the PS2´s they couldn´t get then.
 
Guy don't bother arguing with almasy. You can argue with him and put proof under his nose, but he won't bite. I'd chock it up to trolling, as everyone and their brother know that MS hacn't kept up with demand in retail this year.
 
gosh said:
Scooby dooby my point is Games dont matter.

:?

almasy - people everwhere are complaining they are having trouble getting xbox's, NVidia confirmed they will stop shipping GPU's in the 3rd 1/4 of this year. MS is killing off the system. How much more of a shortage are you looking for?
 
"The anomaly was PS2 selling as much as more than 3 times the ammount of Xbox consoles sold in the month of January and February. That means buyers couldn´t get ahold of PS2´s during the holyday season and were getting the PS2´s they couldn´t get then."

And the xbox shortages never lifted, and in fact never will. It's done.
 
I´m going to need to see proof of that, because as of now, stores have a really nice supply of Xbox consoles.
what store ? we've gotten 3 xboxs since january . That is not a really nice supply of xbox consoles . Actually we have been having to sell refurbished and used ones as people cna't find the new products on the shelves and its only going to get worse as nvidia stops producing xbox chips in august

You got the shortage wrong. PS2 was the one having shipment and supply difficulties during those months.
ps2 wasn't having trouble till december . We were getting a good stream of both new nad old systems till the old systems ran out of inventory , that was most likely around febuary of this year

The anomaly was PS2 selling as much as more than 3 times the ammount of Xbox consoles sold in the month of January and February. That means buyers couldn´t get ahold of PS2´s during the holyday season and were getting the PS2´s they couldn´t get then.
isn't this when the new gta launched along with god of war ? Not the fact that there were shortages prior to that . Because we only started having shortages this year
 
gosh said:
Xbox shortages have been widely reported around spring of 2005.

Not quite as well reported as PS2 shortages for 7 months starting last June, but yes, the Xbox has shortages.

gosh said:
"PS2 keeps selling at least twice the ammount Xbox does, with no shortages, for the entire year "

Because they dont have shortages currently.

Yes. They do. As much as the Xbox. Constantly in and out of stores.

gosh said:
"- if the last holyday season wasn´t an anomaly, why is this happening? An unexistent shortage?"


Xbox outsold PS in I believe, September, November, and December. 3 of the 4 biggest sales months of the year. In fact, I believe Xbox won at least half of the months in 2004. Again, if you looked at the trends prior to 2005 there was a clear increase of Xbox while the other systems fell.

Actually, the Xbox outsold the Playstation in 2004 for 4 months in 2004, so not really close to half

Apr 2004 - 188,669 274,181 (Xbox price drop in last week of March vs no PS2 price drop)
Sep 2004 - PS2 253,295 vs Xbox 265,067
Nov 2004 - PS2 695,876 vs Xbox 708,097
Dec 2004 - PS2 990,219 vs Xbox 1,037,958

Those last 3 months were by a whopping 71,000 units TOTAL or by an extra 4% in percentages. For the year, the PS2 outsold the Xbox 4,593,958 vs. 3,852,072.

While the Xbox had a tremendous 2004, the PS2 having a shortage for half a year because of the transition to the new redesign PS2 clearly had an effect. Microsoft themselves attributed the huge HW sales increases to "incremental sales" as a result of the PS2 shortages. Yes, there WERE Xbox shortages in Nov/Dec, but they had as much to do with the extra business due to the PS2 as to a tremendous lineup headed by Halo 2
 
gosh said:
Price advantage: Gamecube

Power advantage: MS

North America sales winner: MS.
Interesting correlation. Now my turn:

Color for Gamecube: Purple
Color for Xbox: Black
Color for PS2: Black

NA sales loser: Gamecube

Must be the color.

.Sis
 
jvd said:
You got the shortage wrong. PS2 was the one having shipment and supply difficulties during those months.
ps2 wasn't having trouble till december . We were getting a good stream of both new nad old systems till the old systems ran out of inventory , that was most likely around febuary of this year

You either must work in the middle of nowhere, your store was unbelievably lukcy, or you're simply not telling the truth. The PS2 shortages from mid-June on were WELL known and communicated.

I've got a stack of research reports that contradicts your statement as well as every single conference call in the last half of last year from:

Gamestop, EB, EA, Activision, Midway, & Take-Two that ALL mentioned the ONGOING PS2 shortages.

It really did happen. People aren't just making this up.

BTW, shortages doesn't mean that you never get shipments. It means that you sell them out extremely quickly and demand isn't being met. You could ship 20M systems and still have severe shortages.
 
You either must work in the middle of nowhere, your store was unbelievably lukcy, or you're simply not telling the truth. The PS2 shortages from mid-June on were WELL known an communicated.
we've allways had a good supply and we are 15 mins from nyc . If we were getting more units becuase of our location i don't know . But we def had units coming in all through the holiday .

Gamestop, EB, EA, Activision, Midway, & Take-Two that ALL mentioned the ONGOING PS2 shortages.
Gamestop has never had shortages . I also don't know what ea , activision and midway or any developer would have to do with shotrages . When did ea start selling systems .


We had a good supply of systems all through 2004. Even our lower moving stores here had ps2s that you can buy . we were getting our usual shipments of 2 per week all last year .

BTW, shortages doesn't mean that you never get shipments. It means that you sell them out extremely quickly and demand isn't being met. You could ship 20M systems and still have severe shortages.

that is correct. However over here we allways had a good supply and rarely turned a customer away . Its only been since around febuary that we have been having trouble getting the units
 
The PS2 did _not_ have a 7 month shortage starting in June. The PS2 had severe shortages last summer and leading up to the slim PS2 launch in October. With the launch of the new PS2 stores were overflowing with the things. The PS2 was then later met with another shortage in December. Two seperate, distinct events.
 
jvd said:
I also don't know what ea , activision and midway or any developer would have to do with shotrages . When did ea start selling systems .
The sale of a console drives sales of games. When EA et al announced projections early in the year, a shortage would give cause (give an excuse?) why they would miss their targets.

.Sis
 
I really don't know how you can argue there was no Holiday shortage of PS2s last year. It was quite widely reported.

I remember calling bestbuy in early December because my boss wanted to buy a PS2 for his son for christmas and couldn't find one anywhere. I thought he was crazy because I just bought mine a few weeks prior in November and they had them everywhere. So I called Bestbuy and they informed me that not only did they have none but they wouldn't have any until after new years. Same story from Walmart & circuit city
 
jvd said:
Gamestop has never had shortages . I also don't know what ea , activision and midway or any developer would have to do with shotrages . When did ea start selling systems .

They sell software. If there are shortages, they sell less software and thus bemoan the shortage in conference calls and blame any negative results on said shortages.

I do agree with the one poster who said that there was the briefest of windows where there were no wide spread shortages on PS2's which was when the new system hit heavily in Early November (moderate shipments hit in late Oct, but were quickly gone) and were widely avaibable for a couple of weeks. But, they were gone LONG before Thanksgiving.

In any case, it's ancient history, but I know for a fact, that the majority of retail stores in North America had a shortage of PS2's for the best part of 6 months and the better part of 2 months for the Xbox. And it continued into 2005, really until March, but there was good supply in February, just not enough.

And funnily enough, retail stores have had a difficult time with both the Xbox and PS2 hardware for well over a month.
 
SanGreal said:
I really don't know how you can argue there was no Holiday shortage of PS2s last year. It was quite widely reported.


The shortage stems from the new slimmed-down PS2 design Sony announced earlier this year. Sony has been clearing out supplies of the original PS2 configuration for the past few months, and the company has been unable to push units of the new design into the market fast enough to meet holiday demand.

The slim ones yes , there were still plenty of normal ps2s still coming at that point . As I said

ps2 wasn't having trouble till december . We were getting a good stream of both new nad old systems till the old systems ran out of inventory , that was most likely around febuary of this year
 
jvd said:
The slim ones yes , there were still plenty of normal ps2s still coming at that point .

I find that interesting because I was in the market to buy a normal PS2 before the slim PS2s came out and they were sold out everywhere, even online. Sony stopped production of the normal PS2s several months before the new launch. I tried rather hard to get one (at retail price) as I wanted the HDD support.
 
SanGreal said:
jvd said:
The slim ones yes , there were still plenty of normal ps2s still coming at that point .

I find that interesting because I was in the market to buy a normal PS2 before the slim PS2s came out and they were sold out everywhere, even online. Sony stopped production of the normal PS2s several months before the new launch. I tried rather hard to get one (at retail price) as I wanted the HDD support.

thats great , come to paramus we still have 3 brand new ones here at the store .
 
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