Phil said:
What I ment to say is that many have already jumped from PC gaming to console gaming. I am one of those. Of course, one will never really replace the other, but quite frankly, I don't consider todays PC market being much of one. Too many genres are just lacking IMO and with a few exceptions, I can't think of much that's coming out on PC soon that would catch my interest [Doom 3 and a few strategy games being an exception).
Don't worry the game systems will hit a wall too and everything will feel like you've played it 50 billion times again. It happened back in the atari days and its starting to happen now. Almost everything is sequals and what not.
The hardware may slow down on the pc side but the jumps might actually be bigger. Instead of of a jump from the geforce 3 - geforce 4 mabye we will see more jumps like the geforce 4- the radeon 9700.
Currently gpus really come out once a year and a small speed increase in the same design half way through to make more money. Whats the diffrence if we see the 9700pro , then the 9800pro with a minior speed increase , then another 6 months later another speed increase and then 6 months after that another chip that double its speed. It wont be as slow as it was.
Then of course if the computer graphics side of things slow down its most likely all sides of things. Everyone is saying the costs are getting very high for fabs under .9 . I doubt sony will be unaffected by this when they move to .65nm . IT simply makes sense that the limitations will carry across the board.
Ps3 will not be the death bell for the computer gaming sector. They have been saying that for as long as i can remember and the pcs have weathered the ps2 , psone , supernintendo. It never had huge sales but esp now it doesn't have too. If you sell 500,000 copys of a game and then 200000 pay 10 dollars a month after that to play it for a year or two thats much better than selling a million games for a system at 50 bucks a game.
Also the slow down will allow the developers and hardware enthusists (sp?) to catch up . Only 8 % of gamers own a 9700 class hardware. Most people still use tnts and geforce mxs . That is what the pc games are being designed for. Thats the minimum. With galaxies and the new everquest and doom3 we will see geforce and geforce 2 cards as the lowest card able to play them. And those games compare quite well to the ps2 games of today on hardware as old as the ps2 games.
I don't see it going anywhere.