Graphics in ten years
- Thread starter Caprice
- Start date
Joe DeFuria
Legend
I noticed that nowhere on that slide is "power consumption". 
Hopefully be able to play Duke Nukem Forever, Half-life2, and Doom3? :|Caprice said:What can a chip with 5.5 B transistors and 32GB memory do???:
I can't argue with you, I think Doom3 is the one of the three that will actually make it to a release date right now.DemoCoder said:I don't think HL2 or Duke Nukem Forever will be released by then. I'm hoping for a Summer 2015 release myself.
Megadrive1988
Veteran
graphics in 10 years
raytracing radiosity global illumination with near current film-quality complexity.
probably not quite that advanced, though.
raytracing radiosity global illumination with near current film-quality complexity.
probably not quite that advanced, though.
Joe DeFuria
Legend
Sept 1, 2014:
aTIdia Corproration:
For Immediate Release: "Toy Story Graphics In Real-Time...almost there!"
.....
aTIdia Corproration:
For Immediate Release: "Toy Story Graphics In Real-Time...almost there!"
.....
I think they did the right think with duke nukem. Its better this way than another daikatana. They want a franchise, and to do that they need a killer game.
Valve saying the source code being stolen is whats keeping them back is BS.
Back on topic, i think in about 3 years we should have real time the equivalant of sqaures early pre rendered cutscenes.
in 10 years we'll be well passed our greatest expectations. Heck 10 years ago we were playing doom 1.
Valve saying the source code being stolen is whats keeping them back is BS.
Back on topic, i think in about 3 years we should have real time the equivalant of sqaures early pre rendered cutscenes.
in 10 years we'll be well passed our greatest expectations. Heck 10 years ago we were playing doom 1.
smallSHEEP
Newcomer
Woah, I wonder what we'll be storing on our 30 Terbyte hard drives in 2014??
And by then we will have 32 Gigabyte Graphics boards!!
You can bet that Windows2012(tm) will take up at least 2-3 Terabytes and of course UT2014 will need a 1TB install. Add a couple more games and MS Office2014 and you are out of HDD space already. Believe me, you can never have enough storage. I just hope that 2014 HDD will finally have no moving parts and 100% reliability, harddisk failure is my biggest fear (and backups are such a pain).smallSHEEP said:
On Topic: Assuming hardware stays almost the same (monitor/keyboard/mouse for IO) as it has for the last ten years then we will easily reach or even surpass the quality of movies like FF:TSW visually (note that poly counts probably won't actually be that high but with optimizations and tricks it will look that good, heck Nalu already looks almost that good although without and environment). Anyway predictions are difficult but I think I can safely say: In ten years time things will look really good
Hrm. A 20nm process would be pretty darned hard to manage. We're talking ~8 mobile electrons/holes per transistor at that size. That is in no way a statistical process, and so the transistors would not operate the way transistors today operate.
I really doubt that projection will come to fruition. Even though it may have been "slowed down" to compensate for the increasing difficulty of continuing process improvements, I think we'll have problems long before then.
We're going to need something fundamentally new before we get to 20nm silicon chips.
I really doubt that projection will come to fruition. Even though it may have been "slowed down" to compensate for the increasing difficulty of continuing process improvements, I think we'll have problems long before then.
We're going to need something fundamentally new before we get to 20nm silicon chips.
