Kinda difficult to follow this convo with all of the flowery & distracting language but I think this quoted bit was the original thesis. But RDNA3 can't be an outlier purely because of missed targets since targets are arbitrary relative to other generations. To prove it's an outlier we can just look at empirical data, i.e. how does RDNA3's improvement in perf/w compare to prior generations.
Easier said than done though as there were so many variables over the last few generations.
Using TPU numbers:
Vega 64, 14nm, 300W (GlobalFoundries w/ HBM)
5700 XT, 7nm, 225W (+56% perf/watt)
6700 XT, 7nm, 230W (+20% perf/watt)
7800 XT, 5nm, 260W (+45% perf/watt)
Doesn't look like an outlier to me.