Well that's in Europe isn't ? Europe got it pretty late.
But compared to when XBox and GC came out here PS2 wasn't late. As in PS2 still had time here to get a massive lead over the other two. It did get a big lead, but it would have been bigger without the poor software lineup. I really don't think PS2 not doing as well as it should have, worldwide, can be blamed on supply problems as much as it can on a terrible lack of software.
But then even if it was all down to supply problems, supply problems don't have to happen, and they might not happen with PS3 and XBox2.
Well Sega went for a 'generation-and-a-half- console with the DreamCast (if you want to think of it as PSX/N64 gen + 1/2), and some have argued that the graphical leap wasn't great enough to the casual buyer to consider it over the price/performance of PSOne.
IMO Dreamcast was way more then PSX and a half. It was far more powerful, easily a full generation ahead. I think there were many reasons why it failed, but not looking much better then PSX was not one of them AFAICS.
If both Sony and MS launch their nextgen in the same year/season (and that's AFAIK an if), I expect very expensive marketing campaigns and price battles from both companys
If that is happening I honestly don't think Nintendo is willing to contribute to this fight in the same way Sony and MS will if their past is anything to go by.
Well again past is past, its based on how the market was not how it is or how it will be. Nintendo have upped marketing lately, and there in a comfortable position. Who's to say they wouldn't be allot more agressive if they were ever in a dangerous position?
Anyway, I don't think Nintendo would neccesarilly have to match Sony and MS in marketing. They haven't come close to matching MS in marketing or price wars (game bundles) so far and there doing fine. Nintendo just being there with there new console at the same time as Sony and MS would be enough, they'll pick up there usual customers. One things for sure, it'd certainly be better then releasing a year later IMO. By then they might have lost allot of potential customers to Sony and MS and for no actual advantage as the console won't have time to be significantly better then the other two.