Haiti.

Joe DeFuria said:
Joe DeFuria said:
I was just trying to pre-empt what this "civil discussion" is going to be about:
1) How many different ways the U.S. (or Bush) "caused" the current situation
2) How many different ways the U.S. (or Bush) is/will screw it up further.
No different than any other dissucssion here on U.S. policy...

Hey, I'm a prohpet!

Actually, it was quite a civil discussion until a series of sarcastic comments, that did in fact contribute nothing at all, set it ablaze.


DemoCoder said:
Yes, but why the US? Why not France, Germany, or the UN? They can field 5000 troops globally can't they? Why are the same people who clamored for UN intervention in Iraq now clamoring for UNILATERAL US intervention in Haiti?

France and Germany particpated in the last few US military actions either by sending troops or by providing funds to their allies. They send troops to Kosovo, they fought in Afghanistan and they even paid a large chunk of the money spent on the last Gulf War. Taking a one singular event is grossly unfair and only a small fraction of the picture.
As for the UN though there're have been some failed missions, I am not going to deny that, there have been successful peacekeeping actions, such as Cyprus, Golan Heights etc.

L233 said:
Maybe those who fucked the place up to begin with should do it.

If we'd apply that childish approach to the world, the UK and France would spend their whole time looking after Africa, Spain would have to clean up the mess in Columbia etc.
In my mind the common denominator in international affairs is that we will not tolerate mass slaughter and attrocities in any part of the world - wether this applies to the former Iraq is up to you, but more importantly not part of this thread -. This is the lesson we learned from Rwanda and Bosnia. Consequently we did do something about Kosovo even there was no UN mandate.


Now back to Haiti:

Clashman,
the financing probably had the good intent to strengthen opposition, since a strong opposition is vital to a functionating democracy. While this pack of different interests is not very peaceful bunch, this doesn't mean Aristide is free of guilt. Aristide also uses mobs to support his rule.
Concerning media manipulation it is remarkable that the exactly the same thing happened in Venezuala when the "opposition" tried to overthrow Chavez. But Chavez relied on 1 thing: He had initiated a movement to encourage the country's poor people Venezuala's constitution. Consequently civil protest led to a counter-coupe. (If you're interested in that, watch "Chavez the film" ( http://www.chavezthefilm.com/index_ex.htm ) which was shot by a BBC camera team ).

Finally, what can be done about the current situation in Haiti:
A) as you proposed, more political pressure. If this doesn't work:
B) security council resolution. If this doesn't work:
C) peacekeeping mission.
 
DemoCoder said:
Yes, but why the US? Why not France, Germany, or the UN? They can field 5000 troops globally can't they? Why are the same people who clamored for UN intervention in Iraq now clamoring for UNILATERAL US intervention in Haiti?

Because this would all stop if the U.S. stopped funding and encouraging this group of armed thugs? It wouldn't require help from anyone else, (nor would it really require all that much effort on our part).

To hupfinsgack:
Clashman,
the financing probably had the good intent to strengthen opposition, since a strong opposition is vital to a functionating democracy. While this pack of different interests is not very peaceful bunch, this doesn't mean Aristide is free of guilt. Aristide also uses mobs to support his rule.

Right, but Aristide has also shown a willingness to compromise, and part of this civil war right now has happened because he tried to reign the gangs that used to support him. Furthermore, I don't think they're funding the opposition simply because it is vital to a functioning democracy. They're doing it because those people will serve their interests if they're in power. I don't think the Bush administration would go funding say a leftist opposition in Poland, for instance, because having the opposition is "vital for democracy", and I think it's pretty obvious why that is. In fact, I would argue that one country trying to influence the elections of a sovereign nation by funding parties friendly to them is pretty darn antithetical to democracy.

Concerning media manipulation it is remarkable that the exactly the same thing happened in Venezuala when the "opposition" tried to overthrow Chavez. But Chavez relied on 1 thing: He had initiated a movement to encourage the country's poor people Venezuala's constitution. Consequently civil protest led to a counter-coupe. (If you're interested in that, watch "Chavez the film" ( http://www.chavezthefilm.com/index_ex.htm ) which was shot by a BBC camera team ).

Agreed, and in fact I think the similarities between Venezuela, Haiti, and even Liberia are eerily similar. Wonder why that is?

Finally, what can be done about the current situation in Haiti:
A) as you proposed, more political pressure. If this doesn't work:
B) security council resolution. If this doesn't work:
C) peacekeeping mission

Agreed, with the caveat that I really don't think the last two will really be altogether necessary. I would also like to add to the list:
.5A) Put pressure on your Congressperson to take a stand on the issue, (to get the ball rolling, so to speak).
 
L233 said:
The USA is now stuck in a dilemma. Either support Aristite who has a crappy track record but is at least elected (even if the last election was rather questionable) or support a rebel force bent on ousting an elected leader.
Or better yet do what the US is doing now, nothing. As you point out, the US has an abismal track record WRT interventions in Haiti. What prospect is there that intervening again will be any more successful than any of the other times?

The situation in Haiti is a no-win scenario for any outside country. The only thing which is likely to drag the US into Haiti at this point is the threat of thousands of refugees streaming onto Florida beaches.
 
Clashman said:
Right, but Aristide has also shown a willingness to compromise, and part of this civil war right now has happened because he tried to reign the gangs that used to support him. Furthermore, I don't think they're funding the opposition simply because it is vital to a functioning democracy. They're doing it because those people will serve their interests if they're in power. I don't think the Bush administration would go funding say a leftist opposition in Poland, for instance, because having the opposition is "vital for democracy", and I think it's pretty obvious why that is. In fact, I would argue that one country trying to influence the elections of a sovereign nation by funding parties friendly to them is pretty darn antithetical to democracy.

Agreed, and in fact I think the similarities between Venezuela, Haiti, and even Liberia are eerily similar. Wonder why that is?

A lot of people listen to the wrong people instead of relying on their own research. At least that was what happened with Venezuela. The elite, controlling its oil resources and the media, came to D.C. to complain about how Chavez take over power and turn into a communist dictator. And they got listened to...

As for Aristide I acknowledge that he was at least willing to share power and I agree that this sets him apart from the opposition. Though it seems that he's already lost (see below)


Finally, what can be done about the current situation in Haiti:
A) as you proposed, more political pressure. If this doesn't work:
B) security council resolution. If this doesn't work:
C) peacekeeping mission

Agreed, with the caveat that I really don't think the last two will really be altogether necessary. I would also like to add to the list:
.5A) Put pressure on your Congressperson to take a stand on the issue, (to get the ball rolling, so to speak).

Agreed.

CNN.com said:
PARIS, France (CNN) -- France has made a new appeal for Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide to resign after talks with a Haitian government team and called for urgent moves to stop the situation getting out of control.
A statement from the French foreign ministry, referring to Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin, said: "The minister recalled that President Aristide bears a heavy responsibility in the current situation and that he should draw the conclusions from the impasse."
A foreign ministry spokesman said "logistical problems" had prevented members of the Haitian opposition attending separate talks with de Villepin, but that he was ready to receive them as soon as possible.
An opposition representative welcomed France's involvement in trying to broker a settlement, making clear that he expected Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide to leave office.
France had already called for the international community to assemble a force to restore order and urged Aristide consider stepping down.
On Thursday, U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell called on the Haitian leader to do what's best for his people, as the option of Aristide's resignation began to be more openly discussed in Washington.
"He is the democratically elected president, but he has had difficulties in his presidency. And ... whether or not he is able to effectively continue as president is something that he will have to examine," Powell said Thursday outside the State Department. "I hope that he will examine it carefully considering the interests of the Haitian people."
Powell said he knows Aristide "has the interest of the Haitian people at heart."
"I regret to say that President Aristide, I think, has made some mistakes over the years," Powell told CNN's Paula Zahn. "I hope he will just examine the situation that he is in, and make a careful examination of how best to serve the Haitian people at this time.
"And I think my statement speaks for itself," Powell said, emphasizing that the United States and other concerned countries are still seeking a political solution to the Haitian crisis.

Aristide is holding firm.

"Thirty-two coups d'etat are enough," Aristide told CNN in a telephone interview, referring to his country's turbulent history.
Rebel forces have seized much of northern Haiti and are threatening to advance on the capital, Port-au-Prince. Haiti's political opposition has rejected an international peace plan that would leave Aristide in office, saying any deal must include Aristide's resignation.
Caribbean countries on Thursday called on the United Nations to dispatch a multinational force to restore order.
The U.S. Coast Guard said Thursday it has picked up about 500 Haitians attempting to flee the island country by sea. And at the United Nations, Jamaican Foreign Minister K.D. Knight warned the Security Council that "sheer anarchy and chaos" are imminent in Haiti.
Speaking on behalf of Caribbean Community nations, Knight told the council that "direct and immediate intervention" is required to preserve democracy and avert a humanitarian crisis.
The Security Council later adopted a statement expressing its deep concern in regard to the deterioration of the political, security and humanitarian environment in Haiti.
"It deplores the loss of life that has already occurred, and fears that the failure, thus far, to reach a political settlement may result in further bloodshed," the statement said, adding that the council supports CARICOM and the Organization of American States (OAS) in their efforts to broker a peaceful solution.
Haitian opposition leader Andy Apaid told CNN that Aristide is "an element of destruction" who has broken previous promises to reform.
"He must resign," Apaid said. "It is critical, because he has never respected his word in any of the international community's resolutions."
The rebellion against Aristide began February 5, when armed opponents seized the coastal city of Gonaives. They now control the nation's second-largest city, Cap-Haitien, and say they are preparing to move against Port-au-Prince.
The port city of St. Marc is the last major town between rebels and the capital, and rebel leaders said Thursday it would be their next target. Dr. Albert Tshiula, a representative of the relief group Doctors Without Borders, said his group is preparing the St. Marc hospital for an emergency.
"The people are scared," he said. "But at least we can say that the hospital is guaranteeing the security of the population."
In the United States, American Airlines announced it was suspending service to and from Haiti until next Wednesday. In a statement, the carrier said its employees in Port-au-Prince were having a hard time getting to work due to the chaos in the capital.
American Airlines' last flight from Haiti left at 3:30 p.m. Thursday.
In Miami, Coast Guard officials said it will send most of the 500 Haitians it has picked up back to Haiti. Petty Officer Crystal Norman, a Coast Guard spokeswoman, told CNN that most were taken aboard Coast Guard cutters from boats in the Windward Passage, the strait separating Haiti from Cuba.
The Coast Guard also held a Panamanian-flagged freighter, the Margot, off Miami after the captain reported it had been hijacked by a band of 17 Haitians. The Coast Guard seized three shotguns and a pistol from the Haitians, who were being questioned
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, the president's brother, called Haitian migrants "hijackers" and urged the federal government to send them back. (Full story)
But the U.N. refugee agency is calling on countries to take in Haitians seeking refuge.
President Bush has warned Haitians not to try to escape the political turmoil and violence in their country by sailing to the United States and said any Haitians doing so would be turned back.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/americas/02/27/haiti.revolt/index.html
 
L233 said:
The USA is now stuck in a dilemma. Either support Aristite who has a crappy track record but is at least elected (even if the last election was rather questionable) or support a rebel force bent on ousting an elected leader.

I would just like to point out that those elections really weren't all that questionable. There were something like 8 seats out of around 7,000 up for grabs, where the argument was that the person had only won by a plurality, and not a majority. In the U.S. that wouldn't be a problem, but in Haiti I believe they would have needed a runoff. That didn't happen initially, and the opposition used it as an excuse to cry foul, demanding that Aristide's government resign. Aristide agreed to rerun the elections, but the opposition refused, likely because it wouldn't really give them any real political power.

VtC said:
Or better yet do what the US is doing now, nothing. As you point out, the US has an abismal track record WRT interventions in Haiti. What prospect is there that intervening again will be any more successful than any of the other times?

Not speaking for anyone else, but my problem is that we are already intervening in Haiti, and that, to me, is the root of many of these problems. If we weren't encouraging this in the first place, it wouldn't have happened.

The situation in Haiti is a no-win scenario for any outside country. The only thing which is likely to drag the US into Haiti at this point is the threat of thousands of refugees streaming onto Florida beaches.

Give it time, and I'm sure that's what we'll be seeing.
 
Earlier, Pentagon officials told CNN that the United States was considering dispatching three ships with 2,200 Marines to sit off Haiti's coast as a precautionary measure. But the officials stressed that the decision had not been made.

Bush did not describe who would make up such a force, but said: "We're interested in achieving a political settlement, and we're still working to that effect. We're planning for a multinational force that would go in and make sure that if aid needed to be delivered, or there needed to be some stability, that it could go in, dependent upon a political settlement."

On Wednesday, French officials called for the "immediate" creation of an international civilian peace force to restore order to Haiti.

Rebel forces intent on removing President Jean-Bertrand Aristide from power have seized much of northern Haiti and are threatening to advance on the capital, Port-au-Prince. Haiti's political opposition has rejected any plan that would leave Aristide in office.

The rebellion against Aristide began February 5, when armed opponents seized the coastal city of Gonaives. They now control the nation's second-largest city, Cap-Haitien, and say they are preparing to move against Port-au-Prince. Discontent has grown in this Caribbean country of 8 million people since Aristide's party swept flawed legislative elections in 2000 and international donors froze millions of dollars.

Rebel leader Guy Philippe said that the capital would be difficult to take, so his forces are planning a siege.

"We want to block Port-au-Prince totally, so we are going to send two boats here to stop the big boats coming from Miami with food and gasoline and make them come here to the Cap
(Cap Haitien, Haiti's second largest city, already taken by the rebels) and not Port-au-Prince," he said.

More here:
http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/americas/02/27/haiti.revolt/index.html

It seems like a international peacekeeping mission is more and more likely, especially as the rebel leader are trying to starve people in Port-au-Prince...
 
hupfinsgack said:
If we'd apply that childish approach to the world, the UK and France would spend their whole time looking after Africa, Spain would have to clean up the mess in Columbia etc.

It depends. The difference between Haiti (or Afghanistan) and sub-saharan Africa is that the negative outside involvement is much more recent. I doubt you can backtrace every corrupt African idiot leader, every murdering warlord, AIDS and hunger to colonization. After 50+ years the colonization excuse begins to sound stale. That's plenty of time to form a viable state. Most countries in Africa are abundant with natural ressources and pretty much all of them could be at least self-sustaining.

The US involvement we are talking about is much more recent. Throughout the past decades, the US got heavily involed in Haitian politics to the point of even invading the place to change the regime. So there is a direct connection between the current situation and US involvement. It was 20.000 US marines that put Aristide back into power. IT doesn't get more direct than that.

In Afghanistan, the US trained, funded and armed the Mujahedeen who collapsed the communist regime and eventually evolved into the Taliban and Al-Queda is the direct answer to America's presence in Saudi-Arabia and the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict in which the USA probably did more bad than good by unconditionally siding with Israel instead of becoming a impartial mediator.

That doesn't mean I am trying to absolve The European colonial powers from all guilt, e.g. I personally believe the Brits share a huge chunk of the blame for the last two Gulf Wars because it was the Brits who came up with that inconceivably idiotic idea to separate Kuwait from Iraq.
 
L233 said:
It depends. The difference between Haiti (or Afghanistan) and sub-saharan Africa is that the negative outside involvement is much more recent. I doubt you can backtrace every corrupt African idiot leader, every murdering warlord, AIDS and hunger to colonization. After 50+ years the colonization excuse begins to sound stale. That's plenty of time to form a viable state. Most countries in Africa are abundant with natural ressources and pretty much all of them could be at least self-sustaining.

Apart from your arbitrary 50 year long staturary period of limitation it couldn't be further from the truth. As a matter of fact governments across Europe still influence African politics. Have you ever been to Namibia? To this very date its political landscape is shaped by German interests. Did you forget about Côte d'Ivoire? You're telling me that French involvment is vastly different from America's in Haiti? And let's not talk about Algeria...
Moreover, the arbitrary borders in Africa still are the major cause for bilateral as well as civil wars in Africa. I'm sure you can find some examples yourself. Still I am not taking into account, what social structure was left behind by our colonial powers, e.g. in Zimbabwe.
I am not arguing that some crisis were of one's making. However, claiming that European politics is limited to our borders and not promoting its interests across its former sphere of influence is not even naive, that's just blind.
 
hupfinsgack said:
As a matter of fact governments across Europe still influence African politics. Have you ever been to Namibia? To this very date its political landscape is shaped by German interests.

No, I have never been to Namibia. Have you?
The political landscape is shaped by German interests? How? Does Germany send weapons there? Does Germany arm and train insurgents? Does the BND funnel massive funds to political groups in order to influence elections or subvert governments? Does Germany send troops there to change or stabilize governments?

Germany's colonial engagement in Namibia lasted a whooping 30 years and ended 85 years ago. South African occupation on the other hand lasted more than 70 years and ended in 1990. It's a bit preposterous to claim that Namibias political landscape is still shaped by German interests.

Germany has no coherent Africa policy or any notable influence anywhere in Africa and I think the biggest buyer of German weapons in sub-saharan Africa is tiny Botswana which bought a couple outdated tanks a few years ago.

Did you forget about Côte d'Ivoire? You're telling me that French involvment is vastly different from America's in Haiti? And let's not talk about Algeria...

I am not forgetting anything. And no, French involvement wasn't any different than US involvement in Haiti. That's what imperialistic states like France and the US do. What I am saying is that French imperialism was a problem in past, US imperialism has been a problem in the past decades and continues to be to this very day.

Moreover, the arbitrary borders in Africa still are the major cause for bilateral as well as civil wars in Africa. I'm sure you can find some examples yourself. Still I am not taking into account, what social structure was left behind by our colonial powers, e.g. in Zimbabwe.

Yes, I am aware that the arbitrary borders are the root of many problems but they had decades to work things out and develope a nationalist movement that supercedes tribalism or at least to balkanize in whatever way they want. That's more a problem of African ineptitude than anything else.
 
Looks like we can add an outright lie to the Administration's list now. This time about overthrowing a democratically elected president:

The Administration said:
"He was not kidnapped. We did not force him on to the airplane. He went onto the airplane willingly, and that's the truth," Powell said.

Bush's spokesman, Scott McClellan, said, "It's nonsense, and conspiracy theories like that do nothing to help the Haitian people realize the future that they aspire to."

Jean Bertrand Aristide said:
"No. I was forced to leave."

"Agents were telling me that if I don't leave they would start shooting and killing in a matter of time," Aristide said during the interview, which was interrupted at times by static. Asked to identify the "agents," Aristide said: "White American, white military."

Edit: linkage
 
It's incredible the ease at which some can become parodies of themselves. I have about zero respect for the Admininstration but Lord, to arrive at a rock solid conclusion based on one wire story containing one's man testimony who is not exactly a "disinterested actor" is the epitome of poor logic.
 
akira888 said:
It's incredible the ease at which some can become parodies of themselves. I have about zero respect for the Admininstration but Lord, to arrive at a rock solid conclusion based on one wire story containing one's man testimony who is not exactly a "disinterested actor" is the epitome of poor logic.

Bingo.
 
Clashman said:
Looks like we can add an outright lie to the Administration's list now. This time about overthrowing a democratically elected president:

The Administration said:
"He was not kidnapped. We did not force him on to the airplane. He went onto the airplane willingly, and that's the truth," Powell said.

Bush's spokesman, Scott McClellan, said, "It's nonsense, and conspiracy theories like that do nothing to help the Haitian people realize the future that they aspire to."

Jean Bertrand Aristide said:
"No. I was forced to leave."

"Agents were telling me that if I don't leave they would start shooting and killing in a matter of time," Aristide said during the interview, which was interrupted at times by static. Asked to identify the "agents," Aristide said: "White American, white military."

Edit: linkage

I had a read through the transcrpit of the administration... aristide's claims are a little troubling IF they are true but the only inconsistency there is concerns aristide's group on hte plane not knowing where they were going... and powell confirmed this... saying they were still working an agreement to have aristide taken by an ally nation...
 
hupfinsgack said:
I am not going to deny that, there have been successful peacekeeping actions, such as Cyprus, Golan Heights etc.

Why was Cyprus successful? That 200,000 people can't return to their homes? That 150,000 settlers have been moved into the occupied north? That the genocide they carried out, their fourth in the 20th century, was legitimized by the outside world?

Consequently we did do something about Kosovo even there was no UN mandate.

If we nearly destroyed Belgrade as a first-world city in 1999 because of Kosovo then we, proportionally speaking, should have dropped a thermonuclear device on Constantinople for what they did to the poor Kurds between 1984-1999. 35000 dead Kurdish civilians and no one gave a god fucking damn in Europe or America. It boggles my mind and sickens my stomach how they got away with that, but of course I know why.... :devilish:
 
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