Joe DeFuria said:Hey, I'm a prohpet!
Yeah, about as prophetic as someone predicting that a discussion about aviation will involve airplanes.
Joe DeFuria said:Hey, I'm a prohpet!
Joe DeFuria said:Joe DeFuria said:I was just trying to pre-empt what this "civil discussion" is going to be about:
1) How many different ways the U.S. (or Bush) "caused" the current situation
2) How many different ways the U.S. (or Bush) is/will screw it up further.
No different than any other dissucssion here on U.S. policy...
Hey, I'm a prohpet!
DemoCoder said:Yes, but why the US? Why not France, Germany, or the UN? They can field 5000 troops globally can't they? Why are the same people who clamored for UN intervention in Iraq now clamoring for UNILATERAL US intervention in Haiti?
L233 said:Maybe those who fucked the place up to begin with should do it.
L233 said:Joe DeFuria said:Hey, I'm a prohpet!
Yeah, about as prophetic as someone predicting that a discussion about aviation will involve airplanes.
DemoCoder said:Yes, but why the US? Why not France, Germany, or the UN? They can field 5000 troops globally can't they? Why are the same people who clamored for UN intervention in Iraq now clamoring for UNILATERAL US intervention in Haiti?
Clashman,
the financing probably had the good intent to strengthen opposition, since a strong opposition is vital to a functionating democracy. While this pack of different interests is not very peaceful bunch, this doesn't mean Aristide is free of guilt. Aristide also uses mobs to support his rule.
Concerning media manipulation it is remarkable that the exactly the same thing happened in Venezuala when the "opposition" tried to overthrow Chavez. But Chavez relied on 1 thing: He had initiated a movement to encourage the country's poor people Venezuala's constitution. Consequently civil protest led to a counter-coupe. (If you're interested in that, watch "Chavez the film" ( http://www.chavezthefilm.com/index_ex.htm ) which was shot by a BBC camera team ).
Finally, what can be done about the current situation in Haiti:
A) as you proposed, more political pressure. If this doesn't work:
B) security council resolution. If this doesn't work:
C) peacekeeping mission
Or better yet do what the US is doing now, nothing. As you point out, the US has an abismal track record WRT interventions in Haiti. What prospect is there that intervening again will be any more successful than any of the other times?L233 said:The USA is now stuck in a dilemma. Either support Aristite who has a crappy track record but is at least elected (even if the last election was rather questionable) or support a rebel force bent on ousting an elected leader.
Clashman said:Right, but Aristide has also shown a willingness to compromise, and part of this civil war right now has happened because he tried to reign the gangs that used to support him. Furthermore, I don't think they're funding the opposition simply because it is vital to a functioning democracy. They're doing it because those people will serve their interests if they're in power. I don't think the Bush administration would go funding say a leftist opposition in Poland, for instance, because having the opposition is "vital for democracy", and I think it's pretty obvious why that is. In fact, I would argue that one country trying to influence the elections of a sovereign nation by funding parties friendly to them is pretty darn antithetical to democracy.
Agreed, and in fact I think the similarities between Venezuela, Haiti, and even Liberia are eerily similar. Wonder why that is?
Finally, what can be done about the current situation in Haiti:
A) as you proposed, more political pressure. If this doesn't work:
B) security council resolution. If this doesn't work:
C) peacekeeping mission
Agreed, with the caveat that I really don't think the last two will really be altogether necessary. I would also like to add to the list:
.5A) Put pressure on your Congressperson to take a stand on the issue, (to get the ball rolling, so to speak).
CNN.com said:PARIS, France (CNN) -- France has made a new appeal for Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide to resign after talks with a Haitian government team and called for urgent moves to stop the situation getting out of control.
A statement from the French foreign ministry, referring to Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin, said: "The minister recalled that President Aristide bears a heavy responsibility in the current situation and that he should draw the conclusions from the impasse."
A foreign ministry spokesman said "logistical problems" had prevented members of the Haitian opposition attending separate talks with de Villepin, but that he was ready to receive them as soon as possible.
An opposition representative welcomed France's involvement in trying to broker a settlement, making clear that he expected Haitian President Jean-Bertrand Aristide to leave office.
France had already called for the international community to assemble a force to restore order and urged Aristide consider stepping down.
On Thursday, U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell called on the Haitian leader to do what's best for his people, as the option of Aristide's resignation began to be more openly discussed in Washington.
"He is the democratically elected president, but he has had difficulties in his presidency. And ... whether or not he is able to effectively continue as president is something that he will have to examine," Powell said Thursday outside the State Department. "I hope that he will examine it carefully considering the interests of the Haitian people."
Powell said he knows Aristide "has the interest of the Haitian people at heart."
"I regret to say that President Aristide, I think, has made some mistakes over the years," Powell told CNN's Paula Zahn. "I hope he will just examine the situation that he is in, and make a careful examination of how best to serve the Haitian people at this time.
"And I think my statement speaks for itself," Powell said, emphasizing that the United States and other concerned countries are still seeking a political solution to the Haitian crisis.
Aristide is holding firm.
"Thirty-two coups d'etat are enough," Aristide told CNN in a telephone interview, referring to his country's turbulent history.
Rebel forces have seized much of northern Haiti and are threatening to advance on the capital, Port-au-Prince. Haiti's political opposition has rejected an international peace plan that would leave Aristide in office, saying any deal must include Aristide's resignation.
Caribbean countries on Thursday called on the United Nations to dispatch a multinational force to restore order.
The U.S. Coast Guard said Thursday it has picked up about 500 Haitians attempting to flee the island country by sea. And at the United Nations, Jamaican Foreign Minister K.D. Knight warned the Security Council that "sheer anarchy and chaos" are imminent in Haiti.
Speaking on behalf of Caribbean Community nations, Knight told the council that "direct and immediate intervention" is required to preserve democracy and avert a humanitarian crisis.
The Security Council later adopted a statement expressing its deep concern in regard to the deterioration of the political, security and humanitarian environment in Haiti.
"It deplores the loss of life that has already occurred, and fears that the failure, thus far, to reach a political settlement may result in further bloodshed," the statement said, adding that the council supports CARICOM and the Organization of American States (OAS) in their efforts to broker a peaceful solution.
Haitian opposition leader Andy Apaid told CNN that Aristide is "an element of destruction" who has broken previous promises to reform.
"He must resign," Apaid said. "It is critical, because he has never respected his word in any of the international community's resolutions."
The rebellion against Aristide began February 5, when armed opponents seized the coastal city of Gonaives. They now control the nation's second-largest city, Cap-Haitien, and say they are preparing to move against Port-au-Prince.
The port city of St. Marc is the last major town between rebels and the capital, and rebel leaders said Thursday it would be their next target. Dr. Albert Tshiula, a representative of the relief group Doctors Without Borders, said his group is preparing the St. Marc hospital for an emergency.
"The people are scared," he said. "But at least we can say that the hospital is guaranteeing the security of the population."
In the United States, American Airlines announced it was suspending service to and from Haiti until next Wednesday. In a statement, the carrier said its employees in Port-au-Prince were having a hard time getting to work due to the chaos in the capital.
American Airlines' last flight from Haiti left at 3:30 p.m. Thursday.
In Miami, Coast Guard officials said it will send most of the 500 Haitians it has picked up back to Haiti. Petty Officer Crystal Norman, a Coast Guard spokeswoman, told CNN that most were taken aboard Coast Guard cutters from boats in the Windward Passage, the strait separating Haiti from Cuba.
The Coast Guard also held a Panamanian-flagged freighter, the Margot, off Miami after the captain reported it had been hijacked by a band of 17 Haitians. The Coast Guard seized three shotguns and a pistol from the Haitians, who were being questioned
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, the president's brother, called Haitian migrants "hijackers" and urged the federal government to send them back. (Full story)
But the U.N. refugee agency is calling on countries to take in Haitians seeking refuge.
President Bush has warned Haitians not to try to escape the political turmoil and violence in their country by sailing to the United States and said any Haitians doing so would be turned back.
L233 said:The USA is now stuck in a dilemma. Either support Aristite who has a crappy track record but is at least elected (even if the last election was rather questionable) or support a rebel force bent on ousting an elected leader.
VtC said:Or better yet do what the US is doing now, nothing. As you point out, the US has an abismal track record WRT interventions in Haiti. What prospect is there that intervening again will be any more successful than any of the other times?
The situation in Haiti is a no-win scenario for any outside country. The only thing which is likely to drag the US into Haiti at this point is the threat of thousands of refugees streaming onto Florida beaches.
Earlier, Pentagon officials told CNN that the United States was considering dispatching three ships with 2,200 Marines to sit off Haiti's coast as a precautionary measure. But the officials stressed that the decision had not been made.
Bush did not describe who would make up such a force, but said: "We're interested in achieving a political settlement, and we're still working to that effect. We're planning for a multinational force that would go in and make sure that if aid needed to be delivered, or there needed to be some stability, that it could go in, dependent upon a political settlement."
On Wednesday, French officials called for the "immediate" creation of an international civilian peace force to restore order to Haiti.
Rebel forces intent on removing President Jean-Bertrand Aristide from power have seized much of northern Haiti and are threatening to advance on the capital, Port-au-Prince. Haiti's political opposition has rejected any plan that would leave Aristide in office.
The rebellion against Aristide began February 5, when armed opponents seized the coastal city of Gonaives. They now control the nation's second-largest city, Cap-Haitien, and say they are preparing to move against Port-au-Prince. Discontent has grown in this Caribbean country of 8 million people since Aristide's party swept flawed legislative elections in 2000 and international donors froze millions of dollars.
Rebel leader Guy Philippe said that the capital would be difficult to take, so his forces are planning a siege.
"We want to block Port-au-Prince totally, so we are going to send two boats here to stop the big boats coming from Miami with food and gasoline and make them come here to the Cap (Cap Haitien, Haiti's second largest city, already taken by the rebels) and not Port-au-Prince," he said.
hupfinsgack said:If we'd apply that childish approach to the world, the UK and France would spend their whole time looking after Africa, Spain would have to clean up the mess in Columbia etc.
L233 said:It depends. The difference between Haiti (or Afghanistan) and sub-saharan Africa is that the negative outside involvement is much more recent. I doubt you can backtrace every corrupt African idiot leader, every murdering warlord, AIDS and hunger to colonization. After 50+ years the colonization excuse begins to sound stale. That's plenty of time to form a viable state. Most countries in Africa are abundant with natural ressources and pretty much all of them could be at least self-sustaining.
hupfinsgack said:As a matter of fact governments across Europe still influence African politics. Have you ever been to Namibia? To this very date its political landscape is shaped by German interests.
Did you forget about Côte d'Ivoire? You're telling me that French involvment is vastly different from America's in Haiti? And let's not talk about Algeria...
Moreover, the arbitrary borders in Africa still are the major cause for bilateral as well as civil wars in Africa. I'm sure you can find some examples yourself. Still I am not taking into account, what social structure was left behind by our colonial powers, e.g. in Zimbabwe.
"He was not kidnapped. We did not force him on to the airplane. He went onto the airplane willingly, and that's the truth," Powell said.
Bush's spokesman, Scott McClellan, said, "It's nonsense, and conspiracy theories like that do nothing to help the Haitian people realize the future that they aspire to."
"No. I was forced to leave."
"Agents were telling me that if I don't leave they would start shooting and killing in a matter of time," Aristide said during the interview, which was interrupted at times by static. Asked to identify the "agents," Aristide said: "White American, white military."
Clashman said:I don't see how you get around this one, Joe. That's a lie if there ever was one.
akira888 said:It's incredible the ease at which some can become parodies of themselves. I have about zero respect for the Admininstration but Lord, to arrive at a rock solid conclusion based on one wire story containing one's man testimony who is not exactly a "disinterested actor" is the epitome of poor logic.
Clashman said:Looks like we can add an outright lie to the Administration's list now. This time about overthrowing a democratically elected president:
The Administration said:
"He was not kidnapped. We did not force him on to the airplane. He went onto the airplane willingly, and that's the truth," Powell said.
Bush's spokesman, Scott McClellan, said, "It's nonsense, and conspiracy theories like that do nothing to help the Haitian people realize the future that they aspire to."
Jean Bertrand Aristide said:
"No. I was forced to leave."
"Agents were telling me that if I don't leave they would start shooting and killing in a matter of time," Aristide said during the interview, which was interrupted at times by static. Asked to identify the "agents," Aristide said: "White American, white military."
Edit: linkage
hupfinsgack said:I am not going to deny that, there have been successful peacekeeping actions, such as Cyprus, Golan Heights etc.
Consequently we did do something about Kosovo even there was no UN mandate.