SP has fallen badly ever since they announced that licensing revenue this half of their financial year would be way down on expectation. Reason given was delays in licensing completion due to restructuring by many partners citing japanese companies and TI amongst them.
The reason given has been widely panned as nonsense. TI has quit the mobile soc business. so no revenue from Omap6 licensing (which was committed to series 6) Whatever TI might or might not license in the future for their embedded market will have nothing to do with license negotiations prior to their mobile soc exit, so its not delays in license closure, its termination of those licenses.
Similar issues with Fujitsu, who recently sold their soc business (I think to panasonic).
Renesas doesn't seem to sell much of anything in mobile soc. Its looking like they might exit mobile soc and concentrate on in-car and embedded/industrial.
Don't know what's going on with LG, apparently they have an inhouse smartphone soc in the works. Similar with Hisilicon (Huawei). They have a rogue license.
With many companies heading towards industrial/embedded, the suggestion is that this market is not at the leading edge in terms of graphics/video performance, and certainly does not have the 12 month cycle time of phones/tablets, which is a driver into licensing new multimedia IP.
The termination of TI, the lack of success of Renesas, and limited showing of others, is giving Qualcomm a totally all-you-can-eat buffet in the mobile soc market, outside of Apple. Even Samsung seems to be not too keep on their own soc (which has IMG graphics) and is favouring qualcomm in the S4. Only bright spot currently is mediatek, which is on a roll, and is likely to see a similar major ramp up in tablet socs this year, as it did with smartphone socs last year.
And I havn't even mentioned the uncertainty over whether MIPS is going to gain any traction now that its owned by IMG, or is it just going to be another drain on resources.
IMG's financial statement for the full year is out in less than a week, and the sense of trepidation it is causing is also reflected in the SP.