Cortex-A15 is (should be?) more power-efficient than Cortex-A9 but a shrink of the current architecture makes sense, like a tick-tock Intel strategy kind of way.
A shrink to 28 nm should take care of power consumption and die size.
I don't have an idea if Apple is amongst the A15 lead partners; even if with Apple's typical secrecy we'll probably find out quite late.
I just figured that they would need more throughout in graphic power to effortlessly increase the pixel count 4 times (to 2048 x 1536) and maintain the performance of the current iPad 2.
Will the iPad2 successor use in such a hypothetical case 2048*1536 as a render target or a lower resolution for 3D? (honest question). Apart from that Mali400MP4 and the SGX543MP2/iPad2 are the only GPU blocks in the embedded space right now I'm aware of that count 4 TMUs in total. I assume (but guess that no one knows apart from Apple) that the MP2 is clocked at around 250MHz which gives a raw texel fill-rate of 1000MPixels and 2500MPixels with a 2.5 depth complexity. Each SGX543 has 16 z/stencil units, 32 all together for the MP2.
I don't know of how many units each Rogue core consists, but assuming from the Novathor A9600 performance claims it might be a MP2, which could mean 4 TMUs/core. Only if Apple goes for Rogue and at the same time MP will the resulting GPU block have higher texel and z/stencil fillrates per clock than the MP2.
I'm even willing to bet that ST Ericsson might not manage to get its Novathor A9600 out the door before 2013.
When I look back at what I wrote, this has more to do with the pixel count increase. The only comparable thing, performance-wise, is probably going to be the PS Vita.
Which is clocked at 200MHz under Samsung 45nm. Obviously under 32nm and even more at 28nm higher frequencies will be possible.
You are correct on that account but they are still shoveling money in the bank at current prices but yeah, maximizing profits can only improve the bottom-line.
At some point though I feel like they should differentiate the SoCs from the iPad and iPhone / iPod Touch line.
My simple reasoning just tells me that since the A5 is quite large and might have lowered their margins, they might want to shovel a "few" bucks back from that "loss". I might be completely wrong with that one, but I wouldn't consider something like a dual A9@=/>1.5GHz and a SGX543MP2@=/>400MHz to not be competitive. Given that Apple has its own sw ecosystem I'd claim exactly the opposite. I don't know how good 32nm could be but if they'd manage to come close to 500MHz it would make a MP4@250MHz redundant and probably at even less die area.
In general, I may just be too optimistic regarding the next SoC heh. But it sure is fun to speculate and thanks for calling me out on my over-the-top daydreaming.
Look at it that way: ST Ericsson is promising with its A9600 something that equals roughly PS3/XBox360 performance at least from the side of the GPU block. The difference compared to what we have today is HUGE. I'd rather say everything at the right time, even more so considering that manufacturing processes turn out more and more problematic at their kick start:
http://www.fudzilla.com/home/item/23909-28nm-not-in-great-shape
What are happy go merry analysts speculating again right now? Mass production and mass availability within Q2 2012?
Yeahrightsureok....I could devour that Apple might start mass production that early, but given how tight things might be at TSMC both in terms of capacities and yields it sounds more like they'll be collecting inventory for whenever they've really planned a hard launch. Unless you'd expect the new Apple CEO to have a woodscrew moment and hold up an iPad3 to the press for it to be available several months later