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Research Firm Predicts PS3 Victory In Next-Gen Console War
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75 million in 3 years?
am I really the only one that finds that figure a little hopeful? The PS2 took over 6 years to reach 100 million (~17mill p.a average), and that started off cheaper so hit the casual market sooner than I imagine the PS3 will.
I really wouldn't be suprised if sony are still in numero uno place this gen, but I'd be very suprised if it was to the same extent as last gen was...
am I really the only one that finds that figure a little hopeful? The PS2 took over 6 years to reach 100 million (~17mill p.a average), and that started off cheaper so hit the casual market sooner than I imagine the PS3 will.
I really wouldn't be suprised if sony are still in numero uno place this gen, but I'd be very suprised if it was to the same extent as last gen was...
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ihamoitc2005
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Different Perspective
Everyone has different opinions my friend. I do not know what will happen but in one year everyone can afford 1080P LCD and Projection with credit card. 1080 hype is already more because of silly (clever?) Jessica Simpson ad.
Here is what one designer says for next gen games. He says he likes Wii.
http://www.gamasutra.com/features/20061222/adams_01.shtml
Everyone has different opinions my friend. I do not know what will happen but in one year everyone can afford 1080P LCD and Projection with credit card. 1080 hype is already more because of silly (clever?) Jessica Simpson ad.
Here is what one designer says for next gen games. He says he likes Wii.
http://www.gamasutra.com/features/20061222/adams_01.shtml
inefficient
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But who is to say $40 Wiimote like peripherals will not start popping up for the 360 and PS3?
Problem is that from a developer standpoint, one cannot count on the owners of the system owning the periphreal. Which limits devs to bundles and series, which are more expensive and will penetrate fewer homes. Including the remote with every system changes the paradigm of design on that platform.
Johnny Awesome
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Sony will never sell 75 million PS3s in the next 3 years. It's ridiculously impossible. It wouldn't shock me to see that happen by 2012 though, and for Sony to sell more units than X360 because of MS weakness in the Japanese market.
ihamoitc2005
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Eyetoy?
Really fun games will have good extra peripheral sales like DDR mat, eyetoy, guitar hero guitar, etc so what you say may be correct but still PS3 does not have such games no? But maybe later there will be.
Really fun games will have good extra peripheral sales like DDR mat, eyetoy, guitar hero guitar, etc so what you say may be correct but still PS3 does not have such games no? But maybe later there will be.
Reason i didnt post it, just like i have never posted any of the publications from analysts regarding console sales is because analysts are fortune tellers.
One week somebody predicts 200 million Wii's, another week somebody predicts 90% markedshare to the Xbox 360, and so on..
75million sold, in 3 years seems like an impossible number thought. Considering the price of the console , and the sheer amount. 75 million means they have to outsell what PS2 managed in its first 3 years. By ALOT.
One week somebody predicts 200 million Wii's, another week somebody predicts 90% markedshare to the Xbox 360, and so on..
75million sold, in 3 years seems like an impossible number thought. Considering the price of the console , and the sheer amount. 75 million means they have to outsell what PS2 managed in its first 3 years. By ALOT.
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The PS2 was half the cost of PS3 and it didn't move that many in 3 years. You expect SONY to price drop to $200 in the next 3 years?
I wouldn't be surprised if David Manning was behind it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Manning
actually thats TOO hopeful and optimistic. I doubt it. I think its impossible unless there is something we are missing. But then again you know analysts
The only good thing about this report is that its nice to have something good being told about PS3 after all the doom and gloom claims for a change
Now if its proven truthful or BS well, it doesnt matter much now....perhaps for Sony it might for their stockholders' expectations.
im surprised ostepop or masterdisaster havent posted this
75 seems a bit on the low side though
http://www.gamasutra.com/php-bin/news_index.php?story=12250
on low side?
75 million in 36 months is over 2 million consoles per month, and so far they have gotten what, under 1mil in 5 months? I know they will start to produce more and more of them all the time, but still
The PS2 is the crown jewel of console sales. Expecting the PS3 to exceed the annual rate the PS2 did is unrealistic because the PS3 has more competition, a different market, and a higher price tag.
Btw, the 75M numbers is about the ballpark for what I think Sony will hit in 5 years (70-80M; total lifespan higher of course). But I am only an analcyst.
Who knows what will happen to the PS3.
It's the same as all the people that wanted to get a PS3 with visions of triple returns on it off of ebay..
Personally I hope they do well but not great because their system is just too expensive right now and it could certainly use a price cut.
It's the same as all the people that wanted to get a PS3 with visions of triple returns on it off of ebay..
Personally I hope they do well but not great because their system is just too expensive right now and it could certainly use a price cut.
tongue_of_colicab
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I wouldnt be suprised if sony wins the console war. All the 3rd party devs that are supporting them because of the ps2 is the main reason for that. But the question is by how much they will win. THe ps2 was the clear winnen with gc and xbox picking up whats left. I think sony is more likely to get somewhere in between 40 and 55% of the market.
In the end, sony only has things to lose and ms and nintendo can only win.
In the end, sony only has things to lose and ms and nintendo can only win.
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