Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]


COVID-19 hospital data is a hot mess after feds take control

https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/07/covid-19-hospital-data-is-a-hot-mess-after-feds-take-control

With weird discrepancies and fluctuations, COVID trackers say the data is less useful.

As COVID-19 hospitalizations in the US approach the highest levels seen in the pandemic so far, national efforts to track patients and hospital resources remain in shambles after the federal government abruptly seized control of data collection earlier this month.

The Trump administration issued a directive to hospitals and states July 10, instructing them to stop submitting their daily COVID-19 hospital data to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention—which has historically handled such public health data—and instead submit it to a new database in the hands of the Department of Health and Human Services. The change was ostensibly made to streamline federal data collection, which is critical for assessing the state of the pandemic and distributing needed resources, such as personal protective equipment and remdesivir, an antiviral drug shown to shorten COVID-19 recovery times.

Watchdogs and public health experts were immediately aghast by the switch to the HHS database, fearing the data would be manipulated for political reasons or hidden from public view all together. However, the real threat so far has been the administrative chaos. The switch took effect July 15, giving hospitals and states just days to adjust to the new data collection and submission process.

As such, hospitals have been struggling with the new data reporting, which involves reporting more types of data than the CDC’s previous system. Generally, the data includes stats on admissions, discharges, beds and ventilators in use and in reserve, as well as information on patients.

For some hospitals, that data has to be harvested from various sources, such as electronic medical records, lab reports, pharmacy data, and administrative sources. Some larger hospital systems have been working to write new scripts to automate new data mining, while others are relying on staff to compile the data manually into excel spreadsheets, which can take multiple hours each day, according to a report by Healthcare IT News. The task has been particularly onerous for small, rural hospitals and hospitals that are already strained by a crush of COVID-19 patients.

Technical snags

Once the data is collected, hospitals have several options for offering it up to the federal government. They can submit the data directly to the HHS system (called TeleTracking) via an online portal, authorize an IT vendor to submit it to the HHS for them, publish it on their website in a standardized format, or have state officials submit it on their behalf.

Many of these options have proven difficult as well. Some hospitals that have historically reported data directly to their state governments found that their states aren’t yet authorized to submit hospital data to the new HHS database on their behalf. This has left some hospitals, such as those in New Mexico, with the burden of submitting data to both the state and the HHS. For the hospitals who try to submit on their own, some have scrambled to get all the necessary data collected only to face technical problems inputting data into the portal.

Such was the case for some hospitals in Georgia. "All of this is taking the very valuable and precious resources” away from the fight against COVID-19, Anna Adams, vice president of government relations at the Georgia Hospital Association, told Healthcare IT News.

Amid all the administrative and technical hurdles, the national data on hospitalizations has become a hot mess. The COVID Tracking Project—which collects data on a variety of COVID-19 pandemic metrics—wrote in a blog post July 28 that US hospitalization data is no longer reliable.

The blog noted that between July 20 and July 26, federal totals of currently hospitalized patients has been, on average, 24-percent higher than the totals reported by states. On a state-by-state level, some states are reporting fewer cases than the HHS, some are reporting more, and some federal data has significant day-to-day fluctuations not seen before the reporting transition.

Dark data

This may be due to a variety of factors, including double-reporting by hospitals, or hospitals only reporting to the HHS and not their states now. Some numbers of COVID-19 patients may be different because of dueling definitions states and the HHS use to define COVID-19 patients. For instance, some states may not report suspected or probable cases, or those that tested positive for COVID-19 after being admitted to a hospital for something else.

In a July 30 update, the tracking project noted the continued problems, concluding: “Taken together, the gaps and uncertainties in the previously stable hospitalization data mean that this crucial indicator has become much less useful for understanding the true severity of COVID-19 outbreaks.”

Likewise, Dave Dillon, vice president of media and public relations at the Missouri Hospital Association, expressed frustration at the timing of this data collection switch.

“It's worth mentioning that as we moved toward this change we were approaching the number that would have met or exceeded the maximum hospitalization we'd seen during the virus,” Dillon told Healthcare IT News. "We went dark at the same time we were getting close to what our previous peak was. Moving from a known platform that all of the individuals could easily manipulate … has harmed our ability to have that situational awareness.”

According to The COVID Tracking Project, hospitalizations reached a peak of 59,885 on July 23, just shy of the high of 59,940 hospitalizations on April 15. The project reports that the number of hospitalizations has since declined but that the numbers they are reporting are likely undercounts.

Meanwhile, an investigation by NPR noted that there were irregularities in the process used by the Trump administration to grant TeleTracking Technologies the $10.2 million contract to set up the federal database. In particular, the CEO of the Pittsburgh-based company has links to the Trump Organization. Congressional investigators are now looking into the matter.
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 7/31/2020 @4:10 PM:

Total Viral Tests: 3,669,752 (Up +60,278)

Cases Reported: 420,946 (Up +8,839)

Texas is actively suppressing Positive Cases from FDA-approved "highly accurate" antigen tests and the daily case increases going forward are suspect.


Fatalities: 6,569 (Up +295)

Texas tests per 1M population are 137,607 (Up +2,716) which places Texas as the 15th worst State.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is still mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the worldometers report on total test numbers which reports 3,990,030 tests which is inflated by 320,278 Antibody Tests.

As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 3,669,752 which works out to be 126,561 per 1M population so Texas is really the 11th worst state in testing
 
The CDC Just Released a Report on Kids Spreading COVID-19

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/the-cdc-just-released-a-report-on-kids-spreading-covid-19/ar-BB17rRXD

Since the start of the pandemic, researchers have been puzzled by how children are impacted by COVID-19. When the first cases of the virus were reported out of Wuhan, China, it seemed as though children weren't even being infected. Soon after we learned that children could in fact contract the virus, though were less likely to develop a severe infection as adults. It was then revealed that children could be asymptomatic spreaders of the virus, meaning that they could pass it on to others without ever developing symptoms. As schools across the country are set to reopen—many for in-person instruction—the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has released a new study centering on a super spreader event at a sleepaway camp in Georgia that may make educators and policymakers rethink their strategies.

Children of All Ages May Spread Coronavirus

The report, published by the CDC on Friday, suggests that children of all ages are susceptible to coronavirus and likely spread it to others. It is centered on a virus outbreak that occurred last month in Georgia at a sleepaway camp. Of the 344 campers, who had a median age of 12, and staffers, with a median age of 17, who were tested for the virus, 260 tested positive for the virus —more than three-quarters. "The overall attack rate was 44% (260 of 597), 51% among those aged 6–10 years, 44% among those aged 11–17 years, and 33% among those aged 18–21 years," the CDC noted.

As far as symptoms, the CDC only had data for 136 people. 36 people reported no symptoms, while 100 children and staff members (74 percent) reported symptoms of fever (65 percent), headache (61 percent) and sore throat (46 percent).

Another scary detail is that the virus spread quickly, with everyone contracting the virus after less than a week at camp—despite the fact that all 597 campers and staff members were forced to prove that they had tested negative for the virus prior to arrival. The report also reveals that while staff members were required to wear masks, the children were not.

"Asymptomatic infection was common and potentially contributed to undetected transmission, as has been previously reported," the CDC wrote. "This investigation adds to the body of evidence demonstrating that children of all ages are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection and, contrary to early reports, might play an important role in transmission."
 
If millionaire players and billionaire owners with enforced safety-bubbles can't get it right, what hope is there for reopening of public schools?

https://ftw.usatoday.com/2020/08/fo...ve-reportedly-tested-positive-for-coronavirus

Four more St. Louis Cardinals members have reportedly tested positive for Coronavirus
With each and every day that goes by, it’s getting harder and harder to think about a scenario where Major League Baseball’s season doesn’t come to a stop — temporarily, at the very least.

The Marlins, Phillies and Cardinals have all had members of their team or staff test positive for Coronavirus. And things just keep getting worse.

On Friday, an 18th Marlins player tested positive for the virus. On Saturday, Isan Diaz became the first Marlins player to opt out for the season because of the team’s outbreak.

The turn for the worst didn’t stop there, though. Shortly after that, news broke that three staff members and one player from the Cardinals tested positive for Coronavirus bringing the number of players with the virus to three, according to a report from The Athletic’s Mark Saxon.

As time continues to go by this thing is getting more and more out of control. Baseball hasn’t been able to contain the virus at all and it’s hard to pinpoint, at this point, where it spread.

For the sake and health of everyone who’s involved, hopefully they can properly trace the virus and prevent it from spreading any further.

If they can’t, baseball season will be in some real trouble.
 
Ohio is at 24.5K new tests.
Ohio is at +928 new cases, with Cuyahoga County at +119 new cases.
Test Positivity rate is around 3.78% for these new tests.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-8-1_16-12-31.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-8-1_16-11-3.png

Code:
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-07-12;    1,002,463;    23,314;    85,761;    65,592;    9,208;    8,842;    3,058;    1,378;    72;    22
2020-07-13;    1,020,811;    18,348;    87,331;    66,853;    9,359;    8,915;    3,064;    1,261;    73;    6
2020-07-14;    1,039,767;    18,956;    88,953;    67,995;    9,509;    9,049;    3,069;    1,142;    134;    5
2020-07-15;    1,058,599;    18,832;    90,564;    69,311;    9,784;    9,209;    3,075;    1,316;    160;    6
2020-07-16;    1,084,732;    26,133;    92,799;    70,601;    9,985;    9,324;    3,103;    1,290;    115;    28
2020-07-17 1,112,019 27,287 95,134 72,280 10,215 9,445 3,112 1,679 121 9
2020-07-18 1,134,298 22,279 97,040 73,822 10,438 9,513 3,132 1,542 68 20
2020-07-19 1,158,737 24,439 99,131 74,932 10,553 9,555 3,174 1,110 42 42
2020-07-20 1,177,696 18,959 100,753 76,168 10,713 9,610 3,189 1,236 55 15
2020-07-21 1,195,771 18,075 102,299 77,215 10,828 9,736 3,219 1,047 126 30
2020-07-22 1,217,262 21,491 104,137 78,742 11,015 9,864 3,235 1,527 128 16
2020-07-23 1,240,659 23,397 106,139 80,186 11,206 9,968 3,256 1,444 104 21
2020-07-24 1,263,191 22,532 108,067 81,746 11,404 10,072 3,297 1,560 104 41
2020-07-25 1,289,373 26,182 110,307 83,184 11,584 10,145 3,297 1,438 73 0
2020-07-26 1,321,931 32,558 113,092 84,073 11,697 10,199 3,307 889 54 10
2020-07-27 1,339,549 17,618 114,599 85,177 11,788 10,285 3,344 1,104 86 37
2020-07-28 1,394,132 54,583 119,269 86,497 11,938 10,425 3,382 1,320 140 38
2020-07-29 1,416,157 22,025 121,153 87,893 12,088 10,553 3,422 1,396 128 40
2020-07-30 1,441,708 25,551 123,339 89,626 12,212 10,678 3,442 1,733 125 20
2020-07-31 1,463,508 21,800 125,204 91,159 12,399 10,790 3,489 1,533 112 47
2020-08-01 1,488,034 24,526 127,302 92,087 12,518 10,857 3,515 928 67 26
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

August 1, 2020 - 50,590 confirmed cases - 681 deaths

50,590 confirmed cases up 614 and ten new deaths
those 614 new cases represent a 1.2% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) since March 27, 2020 :
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
-- Month of June 2020 --
2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.7%, 2.6%, 2.2%, 2.2%, 2.7%, 2.9%, 2.9%, 2.8%, 2.9%
-- Month of July 2020 --
2.5%, 3.2%, 4.8%, 4.7%, 4.3%, 4.7%, 4.0%, 3.7%, 4.1%, 3.8%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.3%, 2.9%, 2.9%, 2.8%,
3.1%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 2.5%, 1.7%, 1.0%, 1.5%, 1.5%, 2.8%, 1.7%, 0.9%, 1.7%, 1.5%, 1.1%, 1.4%
-- Month of August 2020 --
and now 1.2%

Increases (by count) since March 27, 2020 :
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
-- Month of June 2020 --
+228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
+306, +413, +392, +394, +395, +408, +454, +445, +391, +403, +496, +561, +570, +572, +601
-- Month of July 2020 --
+544, +708, +1,085, +1,103, +1,062, +1,214, +1,077, +1,029, +1,201, +1,164, +1,101, +1,174, +1,114, +1,000, +1,055, +1,027,
+1,195, +1,031, +1,044, +1,026, +734, +413, +648, +659, +1,267, +800, +426, +789, +704, +537, +707
-- Month of August 2020 --
and now +614

As of 11:00am August 1, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 614 additional confirmed cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total confirmed case count in Dallas County to 50,590, including 681 confirmed deaths.

The additional 10 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 20’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 30’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. She had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 40’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. She had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 50’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. She had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas. He expired in the facility, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been hospitalized, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He expired in an area hospital ED, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas. She expired in an area hospital ED, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Lancaster. He had been critically ill in an area hospital.
Over 2,050 children under 18 years of age have been diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 since July 1st. During this timeframe, 52 children have been hospitalized for COVID-19.

Of all confirmed cases requiring hospitalization to date, more than two-thirds have been under 65 years of age. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 remains high, with about 19% of symptomatic patients presenting to area hospitals testing positive in week 30.

Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of the 681 confirmed deaths reported to date, about 28% have been associated with long-term care facilities.

A total of 1,405 probable cases have been reported to date in Dallas County residents, including 2 probable deaths from COVID-19.
 
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State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 8/1/2020 @3:20 PM:

Total Viral Tests: 3,747,779 (Up +78,027)

Cases Reported: 430,485 (Up +9,539)

Texas is actively suppressing Positive Cases from FDA-approved "highly accurate" antigen tests and the daily case increases going forward are suspect.


Fatalities: 6,837 (Up +268)

Texas tests per 1M population are 138,950 (Up +1,343) which places Texas as the 14th worst State.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is still mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the worldometers report on total test numbers which reports 4,028,966 tests which is inflated by 281,187 Antibody Tests.

As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 3,747,779 which works out to be 129,252 per 1M population so Texas is really the 11th worst state in testing
 
Ohio is at 24.6K new tests.
Ohio is at +944 new cases, with Cuyahoga County at +128 new cases.
Test Positivity rate is around 3.84% for these new tests.

Let's hope these lower numbers are the start of a trend where we get this under control. It may just be following previous weeks' pattern of lower numbers on the weekend but higher numbers during the week.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-8-2_19-6-12.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-8-2_19-5-35.png

Code:
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-07-14;    1,039,767;    18,956;    88,953;    67,995;    9,509;    9,049;    3,069;    1,142;    134;    5
2020-07-15;    1,058,599;    18,832;    90,564;    69,311;    9,784;    9,209;    3,075;    1,316;    160;    6
2020-07-16;    1,084,732;    26,133;    92,799;    70,601;    9,985;    9,324;    3,103;    1,290;    115;    28
2020-07-17 1,112,019 27,287 95,134 72,280 10,215 9,445 3,112 1,679 121 9
2020-07-18 1,134,298 22,279 97,040 73,822 10,438 9,513 3,132 1,542 68 20
2020-07-19 1,158,737 24,439 99,131 74,932 10,553 9,555 3,174 1,110 42 42
2020-07-20 1,177,696 18,959 100,753 76,168 10,713 9,610 3,189 1,236 55 15
2020-07-21 1,195,771 18,075 102,299 77,215 10,828 9,736 3,219 1,047 126 30
2020-07-22 1,217,262 21,491 104,137 78,742 11,015 9,864 3,235 1,527 128 16
2020-07-23 1,240,659 23,397 106,139 80,186 11,206 9,968 3,256 1,444 104 21
2020-07-24 1,263,191 22,532 108,067 81,746 11,404 10,072 3,297 1,560 104 41
2020-07-25 1,289,373 26,182 110,307 83,184 11,584 10,145 3,297 1,438 73 0
2020-07-26 1,321,931 32,558 113,092 84,073 11,697 10,199 3,307 889 54 10
2020-07-27 1,339,549 17,618 114,599 85,177 11,788 10,285 3,344 1,104 86 37
2020-07-28 1,394,132 54,583 119,269 86,497 11,938 10,425 3,382 1,320 140 38
2020-07-29 1,416,157 22,025 121,153 87,893 12,088 10,553 3,422 1,396 128 40
2020-07-30 1,441,708 25,551 123,339 89,626 12,212 10,678 3,442 1,733 125 20
2020-07-31 1,463,508 21,800 125,204 91,159 12,399 10,790 3,489 1,533 112 47
2020-08-01 1,488,034 24,526 127,302 92,087 12,518 10,857 3,515 928 67 26
2020-08-02 1,512,649 24,615 129,408 93,031 12,646 10,900 3,529 944 43 14
 
Here's the current data from WorldOMeters for the top 19 states and a handful of other states with high growth rate of new cases. It's possible some states have not reported final numbers for today.

They have continued to climb like crazy. California, Florida, and Texas have surpassed New York for the most number of COVID-19 cases. Georgia has passed New Jersey into the 5th spot. Arizona, North Carolina, and Louisiana passed by a couple states to move into spots 8, 9, and 10. Tennessee, South Carolina and Virginia continue to climb higher and move past other states. Ohio has moved up a few spots with their recent surge too.

1. California is at 515,358 with +6,067 new cases.
2. Florida is at 487,132 with +7,104 new cases. They started this surge with only 57,447 cases on June 2, 2020. This is 429,685 new cases in 2 months!
3. Texas is at 454,020.
4. New York is at 445,141 with +462 new cases.

5. Georgia is at 193,177 with +3,165 new cases.
6. New Jersey is at 188,048 with +245 new cases.
7. Illinois is at 183,224 with +1,467 new cases.
8. Arizona is at 178,467 with +1,465 new cases.
9. North Carolina is at 125,219 with +1,341 new cases.
10. Louisiana is at 119,747 with +3,467 new cases since Friday.
11. Massachusetts is at 118,458 with +418 new cases..
12. Pennsylvania is at 118,038 with +570 new cases.
13. Tennessee is at 109,627 with +1,443 new cases.

14. Ohio is at 93,041 with +940 new cases.
15. South Carolina is at 91,788 with +1,189 new cases.
16. Virginia is at 91,782 with +981 new cases.
17. Michigan is at 91,761 with +429 new cases.
18. Alabama is at 91,444 with +2,095 new cases.
19. Maryland is at 90,274 with +909 new cases.

Mississippi is at 60,553 with +672 new cases.
Missouri is at 51,840.
Nevada is at 50,205 with +1,131 new cases.
Oklahoma is at 38,225 with +494 new cases.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

August 2, 2020 - 51,108 confirmed cases - 688 deaths

51,108 confirmed cases up 518 and seven new deaths
those 518 new cases represent a 1.0% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) since March 27, 2020 :
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
-- Month of June 2020 --
2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.7%, 2.6%, 2.2%, 2.2%, 2.7%, 2.9%, 2.9%, 2.8%, 2.9%
-- Month of July 2020 --
2.5%, 3.2%, 4.8%, 4.7%, 4.3%, 4.7%, 4.0%, 3.7%, 4.1%, 3.8%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.3%, 2.9%, 2.9%, 2.8%,
3.1%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 2.5%, 1.7%, 1.0%, 1.5%, 1.5%, 2.8%, 1.7%, 0.9%, 1.7%, 1.5%, 1.1%, 1.4%
-- Month of August 2020 --
1.2% and now 1.0%

Increases (by count) since March 27, 2020 :
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
-- Month of June 2020 --
+228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
+306, +413, +392, +394, +395, +408, +454, +445, +391, +403, +496, +561, +570, +572, +601
-- Month of July 2020 --
+544, +708, +1,085, +1,103, +1,062, +1,214, +1,077, +1,029, +1,201, +1,164, +1,101, +1,174, +1,114, +1,000, +1,055, +1,027,
+1,195, +1,031, +1,044, +1,026, +734, +413, +648, +659, +1,267, +800, +426, +789, +704, +537, +707
-- Month of August 2020 --
+614 and now +518

As of 11:00am August 2, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 518 additional confirmed cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total confirmed case count in Dallas County to 51,108, including 688 confirmed deaths.

The additional 7 confirmed deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 30’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 40’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 50’s who was a resident of the City of Garland. She had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. She had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 60’s who was an inmate of a correctional facility in the City of Dallas. He was found deceased in the facility, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of the City of Duncanville. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
Over 2,050 children under 18 years of age have been diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 since July 1st. During this time frame, 52 children have been hospitalized for COVID-19. Of all confirmed cases requiring hospitalization to date, more than two-thirds have been under 65 years of age. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 remains high, with about 19% of symptomatic patients presenting to area hospitals testing positive in week 30. Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first-responders and other essential functions.

Of the total confirmed deaths reported to date, about 28% have been associated with long-term care facilities. A total of 1,468 probable cases have been reported to date in Dallas County residents, including 2 probable deaths from COVID-19.
 
Expect to see +200K new cases of COVID-19 tied to this Annual Sturgis rally, all because of greedy businesses -- https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/a...ting-250k-stirring-virus-concerns/ar-BB17tDiT

Annual Sturgis rally expecting 250K, stirring virus concerns
SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) — Sturgis is on. The message has been broadcast across social media as South Dakota, which has seen an uptick in coronavirus infections in recent weeks, braces to host hundreds of thousands of bikers for the 80th edition of the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally.

More than 250,000 people are expected to rumble through western South Dakota, seeking the freedom of cruising the boundless landscapes in a state that has skipped lockdowns. The Aug. 7 to 16 event, which could be the biggest anywhere so far during the pandemic, will offer businesses that depend on the rally a chance to make up for losses caused by the coronavirus. But for many in Sturgis, a city of about 7,000, the brimming bars and bacchanalia will not be welcome during a pandemic.

Though only about half the usual number of people are expected at this year's event, residents were split as the city weighed its options. Many worried that the rally would cause an unmanageable outbreak of COVID-19.

This is a huge, foolish mistake to make to host the rally this year," Sturgis resident Lynelle Chapman told city counselors at a June meeting. “The government of Sturgis needs to care most for its citizens.

In a survey of residents conducted by the city, more than 60% said the rally should be postponed. But businesses pressured the City Council to proceed.
 
Scientists in Portugal create reusable mask that disables coronavirus upon contact with fabric

Scientists in Portugal are claiming a major breakthrough in COVID-19 protection technology.

They have designed a new face mask with a special coating they say helps to "deactivate" the new coronavirus when it comes into contact with the fabric.

The team says this protective effect remains the same even after 50 washes, making the mask highly reusable.

The coating on the mask can reduce the infectious units of the virus by 99% in half an hour, said Pedro Simas from the Institute of Molecular Medicine in Lisbon (IMM), one of the virologists who worked on this design.

While it sounds too good to be true, Simas doesn’t think it’s a game-changer.

He insists that masks in general, combined with social distancing measures, are the game-changer.

"These viruses are transmitted through large droplets – respiratory droplets, around one millimetre in diameter,” he explained. "So any barrier that stops these large droplets from accessing to your respiratory system is very effective."

"I think this is just another tool, another element on a mask, that in addition to a physical barrier, can now provide a chemical barrier," he said.

The active ingredient of these masks has already been successfully tested by France’s Institut Pasteur de Lille against the H1N1 virus and against the rotavirus, the IMM said in a statement.

For those worried about the coating, the face-covering is OEKO-Tex certified, meaning it contains no harmful substances and is safe for human use.

Whether it’s this coated mask or basic disposable ones, Simas hopes more people will be convinced to cover their mouths and noses throughout the pandemic.

"It's so simple, and it's such a small sacrifice," he said.

"I know that it's not comfortable, we cannot see emotions, and it's aggressive, but it's a very important tool, a very small sacrifice to save lives."

https://www.euronews.com/2020/07/27...te-reusable-mask-that-inactivates-coronavirus


10 euros per mask:
https://mo-online.com/gb/en/lp-antimicrobial-products/HomeEng.html
 
In much of the US, progress made on Covid-19 has turned into progress lost

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/in-much-of-the-us-progress-made-on-covid-19-has-turned-into-progress-lost/ar-BB17vicB

Remember the progress made in suppressing Covid-19 during the painful economic shutdowns?

In some states, much of those gains have been erased after an abysmal July that shattered records for new cases, hospitalizations or deaths.

"I want to be very clear: What we are seeing today is different from March and April," Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House's coronavirus task force coordinator, told CNN's Dana Bash on Sunday.

"It is extraordinarily widespread. This epidemic right now is different ... and it's both rural and urban."

In the past month, the US has seen:

-- The highest number of new Covid-19 cases since the pandemic began.

-- Test positivity rates increasing in 32 states.

-- Record-high hospitalizations or deaths in several states.

-- 10 days with more than 1,000 new Covid-19 deaths.


Now the race is on to try to rein in Covid-19 before more classrooms reopen -- and before more states might have to shut down again.

Almost 2 million new cases in 1 month

July saw the biggest number of new cases of any month since the pandemic began, with more than 1.9 million new cases, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

And that's not just due to testing.

While the number of tests performed has increased, the test positivity rate has also increased. That means a larger percentage of tests performed turn out to be positive.

Had the rise in new case numbers just been the result of increased testing, "the percent positive line could look flat or like it is decreasing over the time period when cases increased," according to Johns Hopkins University.

But that's not what's happening. As of Sunday, 32 states had higher test positivity rates over the past week compared to the previous week -- suggesting "increased transmission," Johns Hopkins said on its Coronavirus Resource Center website.

"If we see the percentage of positive tests begin to rise, it indicates insufficient testing to find infections that may be occurring," Johns Hopkins said. "Not finding these infections may mean that the virus is transmitting without intervention, which can lead to future case growth."

Record hospitalizations and deaths

While some states' numbers are starting to improve, several states have recently endured their highest numbers of Covid-19 hospitalizations or deaths -- two metrics that can't be attributed to increased testing.

-- Florida broke its daily record for new Covid-19 deaths every day for four days in a row. On Friday, the state reported 257 additional deaths, surpassing its previous record of 253 deaths on Thursday.

-- Last Wednesday, California reported 197 deaths, its highest number of coronavirus deaths in a single day. That shattered California's previous grim record of 159, set just a week earlier.

-- Last Tuesday, North Carolina reported a record number of 1,244 Covid-19 hospitalizations.

-- Texas broke its hospitalization record twice in two days. On July 21, the Lone Star State had 10,848 Covid-19 patients. The next day, the number jumped to 10,893 hospitalized patients.

-- Texas also reported 197 deaths on July 23, the highest daily death toll since the beginning of the pandemic.

-- Arizona reported 147 deaths on July 18, its highest daily number of Covid-19 deaths.

-- Tennessee reported 37 deaths on July 23, its highest number of deaths in a single day.

Why are these resurgences happening?

Some medical experts say states reopened too early, far short of meeting national guidelines on reopening.

Others point to a lack of personal responsibility by many Americans -- such as failing to wear a mask or ignoring social distancing after states reopened.

"There are three or four kinds of epidemics" that are fueling the spread, said William Haseltine, chairman and president of ACCESS Health International. They include:

-- Young people who are socializing and ignoring physical distancing.

-- Essential workers who are in frequent contact with members of the public.

-- People who live in crowded living conditions.

-- People in nursing homes or correctional facilities where the virus can easily spread.

"But there's another one which I am very worried about, which is our schools," Haseltine said.

"The latest data just shows that children under five have 10 to 100 times as much virus in their nose" compared to older children and adults.

Is there any good news?

Yes. Some states have decreasing rates of infection, hospitalizations and deaths -- paving the way for full economic reopenings.

The most successful states mandated face masks early, started reopening later than others and found innovative solutions to fight the virus.

And while the US still struggles with testing shortages and delays -- making it difficult to isolate those infected -- many of the steps needed to quash Covid-19 are actually pretty easy.

The two most important steps are social distancing and wearing a face mask when you might come in contact with others, said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

"It's not rocket science," he told CNN in late July. "If we all did (both) uniformly, I believe that we could turn things around."
 
Ohio is at 17.9K new tests.
Ohio is at +932 new cases, with Cuyahoga County at +107 new cases.
Test Positivity rate is around 5.2% for these new tests.

Let's hope these lower numbers are the start of a trend where we get this under control. It may just be following previous weeks' pattern of lower numbers on the weekend but higher numbers during the week.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-8-3_16-2-56.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-8-3_16-1-47.png

Code:
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-07-15;    1,058,599;    18,832;    90,564;    69,311;    9,784;    9,209;    3,075;    1,316;    160;    6
2020-07-16;    1,084,732;    26,133;    92,799;    70,601;    9,985;    9,324;    3,103;    1,290;    115;    28
2020-07-17 1,112,019 27,287 95,134 72,280 10,215 9,445 3,112 1,679 121 9
2020-07-18 1,134,298 22,279 97,040 73,822 10,438 9,513 3,132 1,542 68 20
2020-07-19 1,158,737 24,439 99,131 74,932 10,553 9,555 3,174 1,110 42 42
2020-07-20 1,177,696 18,959 100,753 76,168 10,713 9,610 3,189 1,236 55 15
2020-07-21 1,195,771 18,075 102,299 77,215 10,828 9,736 3,219 1,047 126 30
2020-07-22 1,217,262 21,491 104,137 78,742 11,015 9,864 3,235 1,527 128 16
2020-07-23 1,240,659 23,397 106,139 80,186 11,206 9,968 3,256 1,444 104 21
2020-07-24 1,263,191 22,532 108,067 81,746 11,404 10,072 3,297 1,560 104 41
2020-07-25 1,289,373 26,182 110,307 83,184 11,584 10,145 3,297 1,438 73 0
2020-07-26 1,321,931 32,558 113,092 84,073 11,697 10,199 3,307 889 54 10
2020-07-27 1,339,549 17,618 114,599 85,177 11,788 10,285 3,344 1,104 86 37
2020-07-28 1,394,132 54,583 119,269 86,497 11,938 10,425 3,382 1,320 140 38
2020-07-29 1,416,157 22,025 121,153 87,893 12,088 10,553 3,422 1,396 128 40
2020-07-30 1,441,708 25,551 123,339 89,626 12,212 10,678 3,442 1,733 125 20
2020-07-31 1,463,508 21,800 125,204 91,159 12,399 10,790 3,489 1,533 112 47
2020-08-01 1,488,034 24,526 127,302 92,087 12,518 10,857 3,515 928 67 26
2020-08-02 1,512,649 24,615 129,408 93,031 12,646 10,900 3,529 944 43 14
2020-08-03 1,530,577 17,928 130,942 93,963 12,753 10,992 3,539 932 92 10
 
If millionaire players and billionaire owners with enforced safety-bubbles can't get it right, what hope is there for reopening of public schools?

https://ftw.usatoday.com/2020/08/fo...ve-reportedly-tested-positive-for-coronavirus

Four more St. Louis Cardinals members have reportedly tested positive for Coronavirus
With each and every day that goes by, it’s getting harder and harder to think about a scenario where Major League Baseball’s season doesn’t come to a stop — temporarily, at the very least.

The Marlins, Phillies and Cardinals have all had members of their team or staff test positive for Coronavirus. And things just keep getting worse.

On Friday, an 18th Marlins player tested positive for the virus. On Saturday, Isan Diaz became the first Marlins player to opt out for the season because of the team’s outbreak.

The turn for the worst didn’t stop there, though. Shortly after that, news broke that three staff members and one player from the Cardinals tested positive for Coronavirus bringing the number of players with the virus to three, according to a report from The Athletic’s Mark Saxon.

As time continues to go by this thing is getting more and more out of control. Baseball hasn’t been able to contain the virus at all and it’s hard to pinpoint, at this point, where it spread.

For the sake and health of everyone who’s involved, hopefully they can properly trace the virus and prevent it from spreading any further.

If they can’t, baseball season will be in some real trouble.

Only the NBA, WNBA, MSL, and NHL have bubbles. MLB decided against a bubble-like approach.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

August 3, 2020 - 51,490 confirmed cases - 691 deaths

51,490 confirmed cases up 382 and three new deaths
those 382 new cases represent a 0.7% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) since March 27, 2020 :
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
-- Month of June 2020 --
2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.7%, 2.6%, 2.2%, 2.2%, 2.7%, 2.9%, 2.9%, 2.8%, 2.9%
-- Month of July 2020 --
2.5%, 3.2%, 4.8%, 4.7%, 4.3%, 4.7%, 4.0%, 3.7%, 4.1%, 3.8%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.3%, 2.9%, 2.9%, 2.8%,
3.1%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 2.5%, 1.7%, 1.0%, 1.5%, 1.5%, 2.8%, 1.7%, 0.9%, 1.7%, 1.5%, 1.1%, 1.4%
-- Month of August 2020 --
1.2%, 1.0% and now 0.7%

Increases (by count) since March 27, 2020 :
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
-- Month of June 2020 --
+228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
+306, +413, +392, +394, +395, +408, +454, +445, +391, +403, +496, +561, +570, +572, +601
-- Month of July 2020 --
+544, +708, +1,085, +1,103, +1,062, +1,214, +1,077, +1,029, +1,201, +1,164, +1,101, +1,174, +1,114, +1,000, +1,055, +1,027,
+1,195, +1,031, +1,044, +1,026, +734, +413, +648, +659, +1,267, +800, +426, +789, +704, +537, +707
-- Month of August 2020 --
+614, +518 and now +382

As of 11:00am August 3, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 382 additional confirmed cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total confirmed case count in Dallas County to 51,490, including 691 confirmed deaths.

The additional 3 confirmed deaths being reported today include:

  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Mesquite. She had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Irving. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
Over 2,050 children under 18 years of age have been diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 since July 1st. During this time frame, 52 children have been hospitalized for COVID-19. Of all confirmed cases requiring hospitalization to date, more than two-thirds have been under 65 years of age. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 remains high, with about 19% of symptomatic patients presenting to area hospitals testing positive in week 30. Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first-responders and other essential functions.

Of the total confirmed deaths reported to date, about 28% have been associated with long-term care facilities. A total of 1,534 probable cases have been reported to date in Dallas County residents, including 2 probable deaths from COVID-19
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 8/3/2020 @3:20 PM:

Two days of data since the Texas Data was not available yesterday because of site updates.

Total Viral Tests: 3,834,586 (Up +86,807)

Cases Reported: 442,014 (Up +11,529)

Texas is actively suppressing Positive Cases from FDA-approved "highly accurate" antigen tests and the daily case increases going forward are suspect.


Fatalities: 7,016 (Up +179)

Texas tests per 1M population are 142,894 (Up +3,944) which places Texas as the 13th worst State.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is still mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the worldometers report on total test numbers which reports 4,143,342 tests which is inflated by 308,756 Antibody Tests.

As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 3,834,586 which works out to be 132,245 per 1M population so Texas is really the 10th worst state in testing
 
can't believe we can't clear off the remaining few cases in Canada. What the fuck.. Seriously
 
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