Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

I have not read the entirety of this article, but I thought I'd share it first and comment after...

The section breakdown is Early Data Flawed, Early Data Ignored, Supressed Data, R-naught of COVID-19 in general population, Nursing home deaths, and Antibody testing.

https://www.wmfd.com/article/governor-dewine-suppresses-data-disproving-covid-19-policies/3899

[Ohio] Governor DeWine Suppresses Data Disproving COVID-19 Policies

Ohio Governor DeWine, Director of Health Acton and Lt. Governor Husted started handling the Coronavirus outbreak with faulty modeling, while ignoring critical real-time data. Now the trio suppresses critical data. Ohioans: aware, enraged and bracing to fight for the truth.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 27, 2020 - 9,385 confirmed cases - 221 deaths

9,385 confirmed cases up 197 and eight new deaths
those 197 new cases represent a 2.1% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 62 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1% and now 2.1%

Increases (by count) over the last 62 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190 and now +197

As of 11:00 am May 27, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 197 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 9,385, including 221 deaths.

The additional 8 deaths are being reported today include:

  • A man in his 30’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas and was found deceased at home. He did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 40’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas and had been critically ill in an area hospital. He had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 50’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 70’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas and had been hospitalized. She had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and had been critically ill in an area hospital. She did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite and expired in the facility. She had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite and expired in the facility. He had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A woman in her 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite and expired in the facility. She had underlying high risk health conditions.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 221 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 5/27/2020 @ 3:40 PM:

Total Tests: 961,861 (Up +18,622) : 11,378 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised. Not Good.
Total Viral Tests: 855,674
Total Antibody Tests: 87,565 - Positive Antibody Tests: 3,406
Positivity Rate (Previous 9 Days): 4.7%, 5.43%, 5.51%, 5.39%, N/A, 4.87%, 5.15%, 4.27% and now N/A
N/A - No Results Available for that day

Cases Reported: 57,921 (Up +1,361)

Fatalities: 1,562 (Up +26)

Texas tests per 1M population are 33,172 (Up +602) which places Texas as the 7th worst State. Down two places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 27.996 million as the population of Texas.
 
Davros, dunno where he got his numbers. Find a year where in the first twenty weeks Florida had 918 pneumonia deaths (hint, it doesn't exist, it's far higher than that every year) :
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

Eyeballing it and assuming deaths in week 10 were about baseline, excess deaths in Florida for the first wave (which has passed) is even lower than the 1,762 deaths officially attributed to covid. Florida did really well, whether it's because of weather or because they protected their nursing homes better is up for debate (better in the other forum though).
 
They're one of few States actually supported by Individual Number One, never had to suffer shortages for test supplies, personal protection equipment, ventilators, or other critical supplies.
 
Up to 80% of COVID-19 Infections Are Asymptomatic, a New Case Report Says

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/up-to-80percent-of-covid-19-infections-are-asymptomatic-a-new-case-report-says/ar-BB14GB3y

In one cruise-ship coronavirus outbreak, more than 80% of people who tested positive for COVID-19 did not show any symptoms of the disease, according to a new paper published in the journal Thorax.

The research shows just how prevalent asymptomatic transmission of COVID-19 may be—a reality that both suggests official case counts are drastic underestimates, and emphasizes the importance of practicing social distancing even if you feel healthy.

Researchers have known for months that asymptomatic transmission of COVID-19 is possible and common, but without population-wide testing, it’s been difficult to estimate how many people get infected without showing symptoms. The new paper provides an example of how widespread asymptomatic transmission can be, at least in a contained environment.

The (unnamed) cruise ship in the new paper left Argentina in mid-March, with plans to travel around the Antarctic Peninsula and over to South Georgia Island in the south Atlantic ocean. All passengers were checked for coronavirus symptoms before departure, and people who had traveled through COVID-19 hotspots were not allowed on board.

Even still, a passenger developed a fever eight days into the trip, triggering a ship-wide lockdown. Crew members and additional passengers began to develop coronavirus symptoms over the next few days.

The ship was not allowed to re-dock in Argentina after the country closed its borders, so it continued on to Uruguay, where eight people were evacuated to a hospital. Uruguayan officials eventually arranged for everyone remaining on board to get tested before the boat docked.

Out of 217 people on board, 128 tested positive for COVID-19—but only 24 of those people showed symptoms prior to testing. The remaining 104 people—81% of those who tested positive—had not experienced any symptoms, the researchers report.

There were also 10 instances of people testing negative even when their cabin mate tested positive, which the authors say suggests there were some false-negative test results.

It’s difficult to extrapolate the results to larger populations, since the people on board the ship were living in close quarters while entirely isolated from outside life for about a month. Even still, the results are a stark reminder of how likely COVID-19 is to spread within communities, and how difficult it can be to tell when it does.
 
MfA said:
Davros, dunno where he got his numbers. Find a year where in the first twenty weeks Florida had 918 pneumonia deaths (hint, it doesn't exist, it's far higher than that every year) :
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

Eyeballing it and assuming deaths in week 10 were about baseline, excess deaths in Florida for the first wave (which has passed) is even lower than the 1,762 deaths officially attributed to covid. Florida did really well, whether it's because of weather or because they protected their nursing homes better is up for debate (better in the other forum though).
Click to expand...
http://www.flhealthcharts.com/Chart...rt=ChartsProfiles.LeadingCausesOfDeathProfile
Both influenza and pneumonia deaths:

3082 for 2018
3040 for 2017
2807 for 2016
2666 for 2015

That's significantly lower than the claimed 5185 deaths for pneumonia alone.
 
Deja-vu from yesterday, roughly same numbers of everything. Which is bad. There should be a downward trend, but there isn't.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date. This graphic is resized by ~ 75% and taken from the State's Current Trends page: https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-5-28_14-47-42.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-5-28_14-51-1.png

Code: 
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-05-19; 277,602; 7,561; 23,749; 28,952; 3,463; 5,117; 1,720; 498; 119; 63
2020-05-20; 287,609; 10,007; 24,605; 29,436; 3,512; 5,198; 1,781; 484; 81; 61
2020-05-21; 297,085; 9,476; 25,416; 30,167; 3,667; 5,295; 1,836; 731; 97; 55
2020-05-22; 305,764; 8,679; 26,158; 30,794; 3,762; 5,379; 1,872; 627; 84; 36
2020-05-23; 314,374; 8,610; 26,895; 31,408; 3,851; 5,437; 1,956; 614; 58; 84
2020-05-24; 322,419; 8,045; 27,583; 31,911; 3,927; 5,476; 1,969; 503; 39; 13
2020-05-25; 330,334; 7,915; 28,260; 32,477; 3,963; 5,511; 1,987; 566; 35; 18
2020-05-26; 337,221; 6,887; 28,849; 33,006; 4,060; 5,579; 2,002; 529; 68; 15
2020-05-27; 347,477;10,256; 29,727; 33,439; 4,137; 5,700; 2,044; 433; 121; 42
2020-05-28;    357,722;    10,245;    30,603;    33,915;    4,211;    5,811;    2,098;    476;    111;    54
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 28, 2020 - 9,587 confirmed cases - 222 deaths

9,587 confirmed cases up 202 and one new death
those 202 new cases represent a 2.2% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 63 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1% and now 2.2%

Increases (by count) over the last 63 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197 and now +202

As of 9:00 am May 28, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 202 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 9,587, including 222 deaths.

The additional death being reported today includes a man in his 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and had been critically ill in an area hospital. He had underlying high risk health conditions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 222 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 5/28/2020 @ 3:30 PM:

Total Tests: 989,994 (Up +28,133) : 1,867 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised.
Total Viral Tests: 873,218 (Up +17,544) : Of Today's Tests only 62.4% were Viral Tests. Not Good.
Total Antibody Tests: 88,643 - Positive Antibody Tests: 3,445
Positivity Rate (Previous 10 Days): 4.7%, 5.43%, 5.51%, 5.39%, N/A, 4.87%, 5.15%, 4.27%, 4.33% and now N/A
N/A - No Results Available for that day

Cases Reported: 59,776 (Up +1,855) Number of daily cases expanding. Not Good.

Fatalities: 1,601 (Up +39)

Texas tests per 1M population are 34,143 (Up +971) which places Texas as the 7th worst State. No change from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.
 
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Up a bit from yesterday, more cases by over a third and more hospitalizations, while substantially sucking at testing by not even hitting 10K.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date. This graphic is resized by ~ 75% and taken from the State's Current Trends page: https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-5-29_14-15-22.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-5-29_14-12-29.png

Code: 
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-05-19; 277,602; 7,561; 23,749; 28,952; 3,463; 5,117; 1,720; 498; 119; 63
2020-05-20; 287,609; 10,007; 24,605; 29,436; 3,512; 5,198; 1,781; 484; 81; 61
2020-05-21; 297,085; 9,476; 25,416; 30,167; 3,667; 5,295; 1,836; 731; 97; 55
2020-05-22; 305,764; 8,679; 26,158; 30,794; 3,762; 5,379; 1,872; 627; 84; 36
2020-05-23; 314,374; 8,610; 26,895; 31,408; 3,851; 5,437; 1,956; 614; 58; 84
2020-05-24; 322,419; 8,045; 27,583; 31,911; 3,927; 5,476; 1,969; 503; 39; 13
2020-05-25; 330,334; 7,915; 28,260; 32,477; 3,963; 5,511; 1,987; 566; 35; 18
2020-05-26; 337,221; 6,887; 28,849; 33,006; 4,060; 5,579; 2,002; 529; 68; 15
2020-05-27; 347,477;10,256; 29,727; 33,439; 4,137; 5,700; 2,044; 433; 121; 42
2020-05-28;    357,722;    10,245;    30,603;    33,915;    4,211;    5,811;    2,098;    476;    111;    54
2020-05-29;    367,526;    9,804;    31,442;    34,566;    4,318;    5,947;    2,131;    651;    136;    33
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 29, 2020 - 9,787 confirmed cases - 223 deaths

9,787 confirmed cases up 200 and one new death
those 200 new cases represent a 2.1% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 64 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2% and now 2.1%

Increases (by count) over the last 64 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202 and now +200

As of 9:00 am May 29, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 200 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 9,787, including 223 deaths.

The additional death being reported today includes a man in his 40’s who was a resident of the City of Garland and had been critically ill in an area hospital. He had underlying high risk health conditions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 223 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 5/29/2020 @ 3:45 PM:

Total Tests: 1,027,449 (Up +37,455) : 7,455 above the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised.
Total Viral Tests: 893,275 (Up +20,057) : Of Today's Tests only 53.5% were Viral Tests. Not Good.
Total Antibody Tests: 96,719 - Positive Antibody Tests: 3,782

Texas is now censoring and no longer posting the Positivity Rate. When the data looks bad Texas just deletes it.

Positivity Rate (May 18 through May 27): 4.7%, 5.43%, 5.51%, 5.39%, N/A, 4.87%, 5.15%, 4.27%, 4.33%
N/A - No Results Available for that day

Cases Reported: 61,006 (Up +1,230)

Fatalities: 1,626 (Up +25)

Texas tests per 1M population are 35,442 (Up +1,299) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. Up two places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the total test numbers which is very bad as Antibody Tests are useless in determining if someone has the Coronavirus.

As of today May 29th the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 893,275 which works out to be 30,807 per 1M population so Texas is really the 4th worst state in testing and below Ohio which is in 5th place.
 
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Person who partied at the Lake of the Ozarks over Memorial Day tests positive for COVID-19

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/p...l-day-tests-positive-for-covid-19/ar-BB14MEHm
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/p...l-day-tests-positive-for-covid-19/ar-BB14MEHm
KANSAS CITY, Mo. — A person who spent Memorial Day weekend at bars and pool parties at the Lake of the Ozarks tested positive for COVID-19, the Camden County, Mo., Health Department announced on Friday.

The person, who is a Boone County, Mo., resident, arrived in the area on Saturday and became sick Sunday, the department said in a Facebook post. It is likely the person was incubating the illness and could have been infectious while they were at the Ozarks.

The person was one of hundreds of people who flocked to the regional tourist destination and attended parties that drew outrage and fear nationwide when they were caught on video showing attendees flouting social-distancing guidelines.

After the video surfaced, health officials in Kansas, St. Louis and Kansas City urged travelers returning from the region to self-quarantine for 14 days.

Now the Camden County Health Department is asking people who were at the same locations as the individual who tested positive to monitor for symptoms of COVID-19 and to stay home and contact their physician if they become sick.

Rather than attempt to individually contact those exposed to the positive case, the health department released a schedule of the individual’s weekend “due to the need to inform mass numbers of unknown people,” the post said.

On Saturday the person attended the “Zero Ducks Given” pool party at Backwater Jacks, one of the bars featured in the videos. On Friday, some tourists had come to the bar seeking similar crowds.
 
Now the Camden County Health Department is asking people who were at the same locations as the individual who tested positive to monitor for symptoms of COVID-19 and to stay home and contact their physician if they become sick.
Click to expand...
If you feel sick, you should do this anyway. The problem is spreading the disease while not feeling sick. This type of containment was tried when the disease started, but it still became a pandemic. Realistically, everyone that person was in closer contact with should self-isolate for 14 days regardless of symptoms.

I don't know if people don't understand what 'asymptomatic spreaders' mean or don't care. 'Feeling fine' does not mean you shouldn't be quarantined. This is a disease where intelligence, not emotion/instinct, should be followed.
 
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