Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

I thought I saw it on CSI. :p

and maybe a Conan O’Brien skit (although they were taking the piss :p).
 
BTW - Thank you all for posting this info to this thread. I've been following it without comment because it's just too bloody overwhelming for me to deal with/comprehend and with the way my country is dealing with it it's just gonna be a shit show until people wake up. :(
 
Your country has the added democratic influence of bullets, and the need for policy-choices to ensure self-made militia don't start voting with their ammunition. Must make it a lot harder to make the best decisions.
 
Ohio has yet another bad day for number of new Hospitalizations and still hovers around 8%-15% positive case to testing rate.

Ohio is hovering around second to third to dead last in testing performance and may possibly even move into last place over the weekend.

Ohio did 8.2K tests for today's numbers which may be their highest number of tests yet, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, 5.5K, 8.1K, and 7.0K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 23,016 (up from 22,131 ), Hospitalized: 4,218 (up from 4,140 ), and Deaths: 1,306 (up from 1,271 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 1047, 121
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,668 (up from 2,591 ) ~ 2.97% increase.

Percentage increase: 4%, 1.88%, 2.75%
Raw increase: 885, 78, 35

Ohio has total tests of 183,269 (up from 175,060 ) and tests per 1M population of 15,743 (up from 15,037 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio
 
A mutant coronavirus has emerged, even more contagious than the original, study says

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/a...ious-than-the-original-study-says/ar-BB13CHNP

One trend of note is that the health emergency has motivated many researchers to put out results prior to peer-review, and it's not a distinction much of the media takes note of.
https://arstechnica.com/science/202...-cov-2-mutation-overstep-data-grab-headlines/

The data is consistent with a new mutation becoming more contagious, but also consistent with other causes. There are points of contention about methods and whether the data supports the paper's conclusions, which is where peer review is often needed. Other factors can influence spread, such as the details about the specific locations and how they reacted to the pandemic, and small variations can have large effects in the complex growth phase of an early pandemic.
Similarly, the antibody paper claiming 50x higher prevalence was published prior to peer review and the researchers pledged to revisit their math after significant arithmetic errors were found, but this was now done via sporadic review via social media and after it had made a media splash. This is aside from other significant concerns and criticisms that likely would have been raised in peer review.

I'm guessing no one actually followed the stay at home order at all and that's why a good portion are sick.

Even in my little area of Ohio I see neighbors having friends and family members and other visitors at least a few times a week. They're not openly defying the order, they're just incapable of critical thinking. The local state government is also incapable of conveying what it truly means to follow a Stay at Home order.

The NY governor gave further comment on their interpretation of the statistics in an interview. Part of their expectation was that first responders and medical staff would have made a higher percentage of cases, but their absolute numbers were lower, which was credited at least in part to protective equipment and protocols. That high-risk pool was able to control infection more than predicted. Similarly, known vectors like public transport and not being able to work from home that were expected to have a higher proportion cases were apparently able to achieve better control. When the known significant vectors the state was able to exert measures on were able to bring down rates, that left a category he categorized as "personal choice" as a remaining element that now appears larger relative to the other categories.

Absolute numbers as well as percentages would provide more context. There are obvious hypothetical numeric combinations where an overall improvement can lead to unexpected ratios, if some categories did disproportionately better.
 
Pennsylvania has Red, Yellow and Green counties (though no green yet obviously). As of today, most of central and eastern PA is still in Red and stay at home orders are to continue until June 4 :(
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


Data as of 5/8/2020 @ 12:00 PM:

Total Tests: 477,118 (Up +21,956) : 8,044 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 36,609 (Up +1,219) : +251 more cases today over yesterday. Expanding Not Good.
In Hospitals: 1,734 (Down -16)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 19,197 (Up +757)
Fatalities: 1,004 (Up +31)

Texas tests per 1M population are 16,455 (Up +132) which places Texas as the 5th worst State. Down two places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 8, 2020 - 5,369 confirmed cases - 135 deaths

5,369 confirmed cases up 249 over yesterday and ten new deaths
those 249 new cases represent a 4.9% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 43 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2% and now 4.9%

Increases (by count) over the last 43 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251 and now +249

As of 10:00 am May 8, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 249 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 5,369, including 135 deaths.

The additional 10 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 40’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Duncanville, and had been critically ill in an area hospital
  • A man in his 50’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Richardson, and had been hospitalized.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Lancaster, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Irving, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Duncanville, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 90’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Garland, and expired in hospice care at the facility.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, about 79% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 135 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
 
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One trend of note is that the health emergency has motivated many researchers to put out results prior to peer-review, and it's not a distinction much of the media takes note of.
Also note the choice of word. "Mutant Coronavirus" instead of "New Coronavirus Strain" where mutant is a strong word with somewhat unnatural connotations, whereas the reality is normal biological variation. Click bait authoring.
 
Coronavirus: France's first known case 'was in December'

Link

First Covid-19 case happened in November, China government records show - report

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...november-china-government-records-show-report

Coronavirus outbreak in France did not come directly from China or Italy, study says

https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/othe...ly-from-china-or-italy-study-says/ar-BB13nlqF


So what the hell is going on? A coincidental mutation of a local coronavirus in France? And if it was in December thats very early and very close to the date it appeared in China. But a different coronavirus?
 
Coronavirus: France's first known case 'was in December'

Link

First Covid-19 case happened in November, China government records show - report

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...november-china-government-records-show-report

Coronavirus outbreak in France did not come directly from China or Italy, study says

https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/othe...ly-from-china-or-italy-study-says/ar-BB13nlqF


So what the hell is going on? A coincidental mutation of a local coronavirus in France? And if it was in December thats very early and very close to the date it appeared in China. But a different coronavirus?
More likely just a mutation which got to france via some other, currently unknown route than directly from china or via italy. (mutated on the way)
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/9/2020 @ 12:15 PM:

Total Tests: 489,294 (Up +12,176) : 17,824 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 37,860 (Up +1,251) : +32 more cases today over yesterday. Expanding Not Good.
In Hospitals: 1,735 (Up +1)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 20,141 (Up +944)
Fatalities: 1,049 (Up +45)

Texas tests per 1M population are 16,455 (Up +420) which places Texas as the 6th worst State. Up one place from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
Go out, socialize and have fun, South Korea’s government told its people, declaring the start of “a new daily life with Covid-19”

It didn’t take long.

On Saturday, just the fourth day of the new phase, the mayor of Seoul ordered all the capital’s bars and nightclubs shut down indefinitely after the discovery of a cluster of dozens of coronavirus infections.

After a 29-year-old man tested positive for the virus on Wednesday, epidemiologists quickly learned that he had visited three nightclubs in Itaewon, a popular nightlife district in Seoul, on May 2. By Saturday evening, they said they were tracking down 7,200 people who had visited five Itaewon nightclubs where the virus might have been spread.

So far, 27 cases have been found among the club-goers and people who had close contact with them, Kwon Jun-wok, a senior disease-control official, said during a news briefing on Saturday.

The mayor, Park Won-soon, cited a higher figure, saying that at least 40 infections had been linked to the nightclubs. As he closed the clubs, he scolded patrons who had failed to practice safeguards like wearing masks, accusing them of putting the entire nation’s health at risk.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...uster-prompts-seoul-to-close-bars/ar-BB13QJDn
 
More likely just a mutation which got to france via some other, currently unknown route than directly from china or via italy. (mutated on the way)

"Genetic analysis showed that the dominant types of viral strains in France belonged to a clade " or group with a common ancestor " that did not come from China or Italy, Europe's earliest epicenter. Instead, the outbreak was caused by a locally circulating strain of unknown origin, the researchers said."
 
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