Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/1/2020 @ 12:00 PM:

Total Tests: 351,775 (Up +21,475) : 8,525 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised but over 21K tests for the first time
Cases Reported: 29,229 (Up +1,142) : +109 more cases today over yesterday - Not Flattening, Not Good
In Hospitals: 1,778 (Up +92) Highest to date - Not Good
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 14,122 (Up +1,615)
Fatalities: 816 (Up +34)

Texas tests per 1M population are 12,615 (Up +770) which places Texas as the 8th worst State. Up two places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
AlphaWolf said:
Higher instances of underlying conditions is likely the biggest contributor.
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I can think of lots of factors. Denser living (rich people in spacious accommodation versus 8 people in a small flat), higher proportion of elderly living with children, higher instance of smoking and obesity perhaps. We also have stats like proportionally more black people dying from Covid19 in the UK, but that again is more likely from social reasons than biological.
 
Shifty Geezer said:
I can think of lots of factors. Denser living (rich people in spacious accommodation versus 8 people in a small flat), higher proportion of elderly living with children, higher instance of smoking and obesity perhaps. We also have stats like proportionally more black people dying from Covid19 in the UK, but that again is more likely from social reasons than biological.
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I'm more familiar with US data so I'm mentally referencing that with this post.

There's a higher instance of Covid-19 deaths among minorities. There's a number of issues that contribute to that.

1) Access to healthcare - not sure how this might apply in England, although denser populations probably don't have equal access despite being able to afford care.
2) where they work - higher percentage in at risk work environment (transit, health care, front line)
3)Underlying conditions - much higher instances of diabetes and heart disease some of this will be socioeconomic some might actually be racial.

As an aside I've heard that smoking and asthma do not seem to be contributing factors to death from Covid-19 in and of themselves. More data probably needed.
 
Diabetes tends to be more prevalent amongst BAME communities (genetic or dietary?) and this seems to be a big risk factor. Probably one of the main reasons that they are more adversely affected.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 1, 2020 - 3,718 confirmed cases - 106 deaths

3,718 confirmed cases up 187 over yesterday and two new deaths
those 187 new cases represent a 5.3% increase over the last day

187 new cases is a new high and shows that the curve is not flattening but expanding.

Increases (by percent) over the last 36 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%, 15.8%, 13.7%,
10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%,
7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%, 4.0%,
6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%,
2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
and now 5.3%

Increases (by count) over the last 36 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82, +100, +100,
+90, +94, +97, +43, +106, +63, +108,
+105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109, +80,
+124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80,
+71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
and now +187

As of 11:00am May 1, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 187 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 3,718, including 106 deaths. The additional 2 deaths being reported today include:
  • A man in his 20’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 50’s who was an inmate of a correctional facility in the City of Hutchins, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, about 79% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, most have been either over 60 years of age or have had at least one known high-risk chronic health condition. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Of the 106 total deaths reported to date, about 40% have been associated with long-term care facilities.
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...easures-but-russian-numbers-spike/ar-BB13uOiv

But Pakistan on Saturday announced 1,297 new cases, raising the total in the country of 220 million people to 18,114.

The increase coincides with increased testing. The government said more than 9,000 tests were conducted in the previous 24 hours. Prime Minister Imran Khan has set a goal of 20,000 per day

Photos in newspapers showed large numbers of the faithful at Pakistani mosques and only some following social distancing rules. Khan's government said it might ease controls, but doctors have pleaded for stricter lockdowns, warning an explosion of infections would overwhelm hospitals that have only 3,000 intensive care beds nationwide.
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Wow talk about severely under testing. Here in Texas with a population of just less than 29 million 21,475 tests were done yesterday.
 
From that news story:

Russia has now reported 124,054 total cases, with 15,013 recoveries and 1,222 fatalities. True numbers are believed to be higher because not everyone is tested and Russian tests are reported to be only 70% to 80% accurate.
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That's really crap reporting making Russia out to be worse off than elsewhere. Not everyone is tested anywhere yet, and all tests are only 70-80% accurate it seems.

Health experts warn a second wave of infections could hit unless testing is expanded dramatically.
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Testing doesn't stop a second wave happening...

The UK is finally up to 100,000 a day. Which is a lot, but also means two years to test everyone in the country. We really do need a better understanding of the disease's spread and a workable model.
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/2/2020 @ 11:45 AM:

Total Tests: 380,648 (Up +28,873) : Only 1,127 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised but over 28K tests for the first time
Cases Reported: 30,522 (Up +1,293) : +151 more cases today over yesterday - Not Flattening, Not Good
In Hospitals: 1,725 (Down -53)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 14,891 (Up +769)
Fatalities: 847 (Up +31)

Texas tests per 1M population are 13,651 (Up +1,036) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. Up one place from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
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Shifty Geezer said:
Testing doesn't stop a second wave happening...

The UK is finally up to 100,000 a day. Which is a lot, but also means two years to test everyone in the country. We really do need a better understanding of the disease's spread and a workable model.
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I frankly don't see what there really is to understand. Control of the disease is about following a.rigorous process as is done in Taiwan, China and Korea are already. Detect, test, trace, isolate, treat. But no process is executable if the number of cases is overwhelming - the numbers need to be brought down first.
 
WhiningKhan said:
I frankly don't see what there really is to understand. Control of the disease is about following a.rigorous process as is done in Taiwan, China and Korea are already. Detect, test, trace, isolate, treat.
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Yes, but the article only references testing, not any of the other more important aspects. A second wave will happen if you don't control the spread of the disease, regardless how much testing you do. If you were to test a million people a day, and that's it, you'll still get a second wave. If you didn't test anyone but had ludicrous levels of respirator wearing, social distancing, decontamination, etc., you'd stop a second wave happening. Most importantly, ending lockdowns will result in a second wave no matter how much testing you have if you don't have a containment plan.
 
Ohio's testing remains beyond pathetic for the entire last week -- they only did another 5.2K tests, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, and 6.5K tests.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 19,335 (up from 18,743 ), Hospitalized: 3,712 (up from 3,634 ), and Deaths: 1,021 (up from 1,002 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 798, 81
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,305 (up from 2,217 ).

Percentage increase: 3.16%, 2.15%, 1.9%
Raw increase: 592, 78, 19

Ohio has total tests of 145,021 (up from 139,725 ) and tests per 1M population of 12,457 (up from 12,002 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio
 
Shifty Geezer said:
First time I've ever seen 6 decimal places described as 'roughly'. ;)
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They don't say the number they use so it was calculated from numbers they rounded the results of to begin with. The 2019 population of Ohio is estimated at 11,689,100 but that number doesn't fit their calculations.
 
Shifty Geezer said:
From that news story:

That's really crap reporting making Russia out to be worse off than elsewhere. Not everyone is tested anywhere yet, and all tests are only 70-80% accurate it seems.

Testing doesn't stop a second wave happening...

The UK is finally up to 100,000 a day. Which is a lot, but also means two years to test everyone in the country. We really do need a better understanding of the disease's spread and a workable model.
Click to expand...
not bad. Asked my sister-in-law who is a nurse, and now I know the name of the most common test, which is called Beckenbauer's test, and it's the least reliable -the one we've seen here- with around a 60% accuracy. A doctor here took that one and she tested negative, but then she was tested with the most accurate one (90% accuracy) and she tested positive. Also a serology (blood) test was performed on her.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 2, 2020 - 3,899 confirmed cases - 110 deaths

3,899 confirmed cases up 181 over yesterday and four new deaths
those 181 new cases represent a 4.9% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 37 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%, 15.8%, 13.7%,
10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%,
7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%, 4.0%,
6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%,
2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%,
5.3% and now 4.9%

Increases (by count) over the last 37 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82, +100, +100,
+90, +94, +97, +43, +106, +63, +108,
+105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109, +80,
+124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80,
+71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179,
+187 and now +181

As of 11:00am May 1, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 181 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 3,899, including 110 deaths. The additional 4 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 20’s who was a resident of the City of Irving, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Richardson, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 70's who was a resident of the City of Grand Prairie, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 90's who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, about 79% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, most have been either over 60 years of age or have had at least one known high-risk chronic health condition. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Of the 110 total deaths reported to date, about 40% have been associated with long-term care facilities.
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https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biote...483m-to-shepherd-covid-19-vaccine-to-approval

The US govt gave Moderna $483 million to develop a Covid vaccine with the target date for delivery in late 2020. Most other vaccine developers had an ETA of 2021 which is why Moderna won the largest contract.

Problem is they are skipping animal trials with an unproven technology. They are trying to deploy a mRNA vaccine (one of the first of its kind) with no history of developing any type of FDA approved product.

I’m not an antivaxxer by any stretch of the imagination (my son is fully vaccinated and my family gets vaccinated for the flu every year) but the ideal of allowing myself to be a guinea pig is completely unappealing.
 
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