Welcome, Unregistered.

If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Reply
Old 05-Oct-2009, 15:48   #1
Lukfi
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Prague, Czech Republic
Posts: 423
Send a message via MSN to Lukfi
ATI AMD: R9xx Speculation

So, it's a bit early, but still, NordicHardware claims to have some info about next-gen Radeon chips, which are supposed to be truly next-gen this time (not even loosely based on R600 anymore). So I took the liberty of creating a thread for it.

http://www.nordichardware.com/news,9997.html
http://www.nordichardware.com/news,9998.html

NH refers to the generation as "Radeon 100", there are supposedly three chips codenamed Cozumel, Ibiza and Kauai (as islands).

Launch date is Q3 2010 if AMD goes with TSMC and Q4 if they choose Globalfoundries.
Lukfi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 16:03   #2
fellix
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Varna, Bulgaria
Posts: 2,817
Send a message via Skype™ to fellix
Default

Wow, that was fast one! And the current R800 speculation thread is still lurking around.
__________________
Apple: China -- Brutal leadership done right.
Google: United States -- Somewhat democratic.
Microsoft: Russia -- Big and bloated.
Linux: EU -- Diverse and broke.
fellix is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 16:08   #3
IRQ Conflict
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: DV,AB,Canada
Posts: 64
Send a message via ICQ to IRQ Conflict
Default

Meh, 5870 was so last week.
__________________
"IRQ Conflict, I can't understand half of your statements, and your comprehension abilities are pretty weak..." -Mintmaster
IRQ Conflict is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 16:22   #4
Voxilla
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 263
Default

Seems not very likely to me.
Next year there will be a shrink from 40nm to 28nm, but a complete new architecture seems kind of wild.
I don't expect this until DX12, maybe start a speculation thread about this as well
Voxilla is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 16:29   #5
fellix
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Varna, Bulgaria
Posts: 2,817
Send a message via Skype™ to fellix
Default

I don't think ATi spend that much R&D on R800 -- mostly a DX11-upgraded 2*RV770 single ASIC implementation.
Surely something much more grandiose is in the workshop behind the curtain.
__________________
Apple: China -- Brutal leadership done right.
Google: United States -- Somewhat democratic.
Microsoft: Russia -- Big and bloated.
Linux: EU -- Diverse and broke.
fellix is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 16:36   #6
Silent_Buddha
Regular
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 8,961
Default

I suppose it could be possible they are doing a Rv8xx refresh in 6 months and then 6 months later launch a new card. But that seems really fast.

I suppose other possibility is they skip the refresh and launch a new card in 12-15 months, but that's a pretty long gap between cards.

Either way the timing just doesn't seem right...

Then again if Rv870 was delayed due to 40 nm problems and/or deliberately delayed to make the launch line up with Intel's Lynnfield and closer to Win7... Then a roadmap with refresh in 3-6 months (5890?) and then new product 6-9 months after that seems plausible.

Regards,
SB
Silent_Buddha is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 16:42   #7
fellix
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Varna, Bulgaria
Posts: 2,817
Send a message via Skype™ to fellix
Default

There will be at least one 32/28nm node R800 "try-out" SKU before anything next gen to pop out on a finer manufacturing process, and if the competition environment is heating up that would be full-blown RV890, not just some mainstream puppy, I hope.
__________________
Apple: China -- Brutal leadership done right.
Google: United States -- Somewhat democratic.
Microsoft: Russia -- Big and bloated.
Linux: EU -- Diverse and broke.
fellix is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 17:13   #8
Lukfi
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Prague, Czech Republic
Posts: 423
Send a message via MSN to Lukfi
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Silent_Buddha View Post
Then again if Rv870 was delayed due to 40 nm problems and/or deliberately delayed to make the launch line up with Intel's Lynnfield and closer to Win7... Then a roadmap with refresh in 3-6 months (5890?) and then new product 6-9 months after that seems plausible.

Regards,
SB
Reminds me of R520 and R580. If R600 had been ready, it would have been launched in August 2006. While it didn't, the gap between R600 and RV770 was roughly 13 months with a refresh (RV670) in between.
Lukfi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 17:19   #9
rpg.314
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: /
Posts: 4,070
Send a message via Skype™ to rpg.314
Default

Bergman said a while ago that they'll have something revolutionary around that time, 2010, so the time line is about right.

I looked around, but the linky seems to have gotten lost somewhere.
__________________
The views presented here are my own and not my employer's.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexko View Post
So in a nutshell, model [BLANK] will have [BLANK], up to [BLANK], and even [BLANK] for a power consumption of just [BLANK]. Impressive.
rpg.314 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 17:33   #10
MarkoIt
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Italy
Posts: 353
Default

It believe they will revise the architecture, but it will be still based on the current VLIW architecture, which still has lots to show more and more games get shader intensive.
They will probably greatly increment the ALUs (looking forward a 3x), remove some fixed functions (RBEs and tessellation?) and they have to increment the bw efficiency as well.
The mainstream chips of R9xx will be probably be build for Fusion, so they will use a SOI manufacturing processes, but i have no idea how this can impact over the architecture.
But most important.. 28nm or 32nm? What kind of transistors density can we expect from both? And what about power savings?
MarkoIt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:01   #11
phenix
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Cambridge, MA
Posts: 620
Default

Why so fast? Do they expect big things from Fermi?
phenix is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:05   #12
Scrat
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Pistoia, Italy
Posts: 53
Default

I'll stick to an optical die shrunk Cypress to 32nm in Q3 2010...
Scrat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:20   #13
Tchock
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Jurong West
Posts: 755
Default

According to nApoleon (still reliable as hell) originally R8XX was supposed to be the brand new (ugh) architecture from daamit. A while ago however that was pushed to R9XX.

But as we can see it didn't really affect their execution abilities though, and they might even be getting better in that segment (although it's easy improving from R600 piss poor )
__________________
<rpg.314> - I have a feeling that shielding 480 from the evils of afr, embodied in that creation of satan called 5970, will be a part of epic battle between good and evil
<neliz> - The Devil doesn't wear green.
Tchock is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:26   #14
Silent_Buddha
Regular
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 8,961
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by phenix View Post
Why so fast? Do they expect big things from Fermi?
Well if that single rumor is true, there's no way it can be a response to Fermi. You don't design a whole new architechture in half a year.

Regards,
SB
Silent_Buddha is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:34   #15
ShaidarHaran
hardware monkey
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,902
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tchock View Post
According to nApoleon (still reliable as hell) originally R8XX was supposed to be the brand new (ugh) architecture from daamit. A while ago however that was pushed to R9XX.

But as we can see it didn't really affect their execution abilities though, and they might even be getting better in that segment (although it's easy improving from R600 piss poor )
R600 was delayed because of a bug in the 90nm design library. Not at all ATi's fault.
ShaidarHaran is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:34   #16
fellix
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Varna, Bulgaria
Posts: 2,817
Send a message via Skype™ to fellix
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tchock View Post
According to nApoleon (still reliable as hell) originally R8XX was supposed to be the brand new (ugh) architecture from daamit. A while ago however that was pushed to R9XX.
I wonder at what point (in time) that decision was made? It's known that the R&D process [both for NV & ATi] is virtually an uninterrupted time-line, and the work on each new design begins with a little overlap with the old one being just finnished...
__________________
Apple: China -- Brutal leadership done right.
Google: United States -- Somewhat democratic.
Microsoft: Russia -- Big and bloated.
Linux: EU -- Diverse and broke.
fellix is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 19:42   #17
seahawk
Junior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 284
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by phenix View Post
Why so fast? Do they expect big things from Fermi?
You make such decisions long before you know about the chip your competition is going to deliver. And as ATI is executing quite well at the moment, I would not surprised to see them move quickly.
seahawk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 20:33   #18
no-X
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 2,038
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ShaidarHaran View Post
R600 was delayed because of a bug in the 90nm design library. Not at all ATi's fault.
That was R520.
__________________
Sorry for my English. But I hope it's better than your Czech
no-X is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 20:56   #19
ShaidarHaran
hardware monkey
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,902
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by no-X View Post
That was R520.
Doh!

LOL, ok, R600 sucked then
ShaidarHaran is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 22:18   #20
air_ii
Member
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 132
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by seahawk View Post
You make such decisions long before you know about the chip your competition is going to deliver. And as ATI is executing quite well at the moment, I would not surprised to see them move quickly.
Decisions about the design, yes, about leaking the info, not really .
air_ii is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 22:25   #21
wingless
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 79
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Voxilla View Post
Seems not very likely to me.
Next year there will be a shrink from 40nm to 28nm, but a complete new architecture seems kind of wild.
I don't expect this until DX12, maybe start a speculation thread about this as well
Why doesn't it seem likely? From the 2900XT, to 3870, to 4870 and to 5870, the timspan has been almost exactly the same. The ATI division gets new chips out once a year.
wingless is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 22:27   #22
neliz
MSI Man
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: In the know
Posts: 4,885
Send a message via ICQ to neliz Send a message via MSN to neliz
Default

tagline "DX11 done righter"
__________________
I miss you CJ, 1976 - 2010
neliz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-Oct-2009, 22:30   #23
phenix
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Cambridge, MA
Posts: 620
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Silent_Buddha View Post
Well if that single rumor is true, there's no way it can be a response to Fermi. You don't design a whole new architechture in half a year.

Regards,
SB
Quote:
Originally Posted by seahawk View Post
You make such decisions long before you know about the chip your competition is going to deliver. And as ATI is executing quite well at the moment, I would not surprised to see them move quickly.
Quote:
Originally Posted by air_ii View Post
Decisions about the design, yes, about leaking the info, not really .

I am not saying it is the response to Fermi but it just seems rushed out. Does it leaves enough room for RV870? Besides ATI might had the information about Fermi long before Nvidia announcement. Well, everybody guessed that Nvidia will come up with a new architecture in 2010. Maybe they predicted that the market will be much more competitive in a year or so.
phenix is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-Oct-2009, 00:18   #24
MfA
Regular
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 5,221
Send a message via ICQ to MfA
Default

I don't expect huge architectural changes in the SIMDs ... slightly narrower would be nice for GPGPU but I don't think it would matter much for graphics, so I don't expect it happening. They'll probably chase NVIDIA in getting a writeable L2 and loosening up branching limitations.
MfA is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 06-Oct-2009, 03:29   #25
Arty
KEPLER
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,892
Default

I think its a bit premature, if we're speculating then we should be discussing some thing more sane like this -> AMD RV770 refresh -> RV790. So I guess either we turn this thread into a RV870 refresh thread or lock this baby down, which ever the mods feel is the better path.

As for this bit of "news", here is another shot at hardware-info's and nordichardware's credibility:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gipsel View Post
I'm quite sure Cozumel, Ibiza and Kauai are not the code names for the mobile chips. They have actually no clue what the names stand for. They simply got it from a forum post (German) I've done on September 28th

The events were as follows:
I posted about some strange island code names (I wanted to tease some people) and a possible feature of the upcoming R9xx series and that there are already references to it in the driver. Furthermore that it took from December last year until now that we got the hardware after first references to RV870 und RV830 in the drivers. NordicHardware made up a news that R9xx is coming early in Q3/10. The German hardware-infos rumor site took this news and spiced it with the three island code names (claiming they are from the .inf files, which is wrong) and now NordicHardware just adds the code names to their rumor with the words that those names are coming from some beta driver (which is wrong, too). :rolleyes:

To say the truth, I don't know for for sure what these names mean either, but at least I think I may have a clue :rolleyes:

Anybody cares to know when these names actually appeared? Maybe Charlie has heard them already quite some months ago.
__________________
People like you - Silent_Buddha laying an epic smackdown on XMAN26's double standards.
So you're mixing apples and oranges to calculate grapes and then compare it to apples. - silent_guy's witty retort on sweeping comparisons.
Arty is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply

Tags
Барт, Кайман

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 18:45.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.6
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.